Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/16/2021 College Basketball Pick, Tips and Odds

Game: Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 16, 2021

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: Florida (+1)

The Florida Gators (6-3) are headed to Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday where they'll take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (8-5). Florida opens this game as 1-point dogs. The total is set at 139.5.

Florida enters this game with a mark of 6-3 for the campaign. The Gators are shooting 38.8% on three-point attempts (66 of 170) and 73.6% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 77.6 pts per contest (83rd in D-1) while shooting 47.0% from the field. They lose possession via turnover 14.3 times per game and as a group they are committing 19.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Florida is pulling in 36.2 boards per game and has totaled 110 assists on the year, which is 255th in the nation in terms of passing. On the defensive end of the court, the Gators are forcing their opponents into 15.4 turnovers every game while drawing 19.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 99th in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 108 conceded for the year. The Gators are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.9% (214 of 511) and they surrender 32.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are surrendering 38.0% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 196th in D-1 in opponents PPG (70.9).

The Florida Gators faced off with the Ole Miss Rebels and took home the win by a score of 72-63 in their last contest. Florida finished the contest with a 43.1% field goal percentage (22 of 51) and made 6 out of their 14 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the charity stripe, the Gators knocked down 22 of 26 tries for a percentage of 84.6%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 37 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 9 assists for the contest as well as earning 6 steals and 9 rejections. With regard to the defense, Florida allowed the other team to shoot 43.1% from the floor on 22 out of 51 shooting. Ole Miss earned 8 dimes and had 4 steals for the game. In addition, the Rebels pulled down 26 rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive) and added 9 blocks. Ole Miss ended up going 73.3% when shooting free throws by knocking down 11 of 15 shots. They knocked down 6 of their 13 attempts from 3-point land.

Colin Castleton is a guy who was a factor for this contest. He left the arena with 21 points on 6 out of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 31 minutes played and also collected 10 boards. Castleton finished shooting 50.0% from the floor and distributed 3 assists. An additional guy that was a major factor in this game for the Gators was Tre Mann. He collected 7 rebounds and earned 3 dimes. He ended up going 33.3% from the field for this contest via 4-of-12 (17 points). When all was said and done, Mann saw the court for 28 minutes.

Mississippi State has a record of 8-5 on the season. Mississippi State has 957 pts for the year (73.6 per contest) and they snag 39.8 rebounds per game. The Bulldogs are committing 16.3 fouls every game and they go 63.0% from the charity stripe. As an offense, the Bulldogs are hitting on 46.6% from the floor, which ranks them 89th in the country. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.8 times per contest (224th in the nation) and they are giving up possession 13.5 times per contest. The Bulldogs defensively are ranked 83rd in the country in PPG surrendered with 66.1. The Mississippi State defense gives up 36.2% on 3-point attempts (113 of 312) and their opponents are connecting on 73.1% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 14.1 dimes and 30.7 boards per contest, which is 251st and 34th in college hoops. They are able to force 12.4 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 40.6% from the floor (78th in college hoops).

The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a defeat with a final score of 56-55 when they faced the Texas A&M Aggies. The Bulldogs were able to snag 17 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 27 in this contest. They also rejected 6 tries while earning 6 steals for this game. The Aggies were called for 11 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for 10 shots. They were able to make 6 of those for a rate of 60.0%. When it comes to shots from distance, Mississippi State made 5 of their 14 attempts (35.7%). When this game wrapped up, the Bulldogs finished 22 out of 51 from the floor which had them at 43.1%. The Bulldogs allowed the Aggies to make 23 of their 53 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.4% for this contest. They went 30.0% from three-point range by shooting 3 of 10 and finished the game at 7 out of 9 at the free throw line (77.8%). Concerning how they rebounded, Mississippi State permitted Texas A&M to pull down 26 overall (10 offensive).

Iverson Molinar was important for the Bulldogs in the game. He made 6 out of 11 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 54.5%, which got him 16 points. Molinar had 2 boards in his 37 minutes and added 4 dimes for the game. One more player that ended being a contributor for Mississippi State was D.J. Stewart Jr.. He was able to score 9 points in 36 minutes played by way of 3 out of 14 from the floor for the game. Jr. ended up shooting 21.4% from the field while totaling 4 assists and 4 rebounds.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Mississippi State (-1) and under 139.5 points

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