Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Missouri State Bears Prediction, 11/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs Missouri State Bears

Date: Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Location: Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO

TV: ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-1) are hitting the road to Great Southern Bank Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Missouri State Bears (2-0).

The Arkansas State Red Wolves took the court against Stephen F. Austin and took a loss by a score of 90-65 in their last game. In the matter of fouls, the Red Wolves finished with 19 while Stephen F. Austin totaled 25 fouls. They also buried 12 out of their 33 attempts from long range. Stephen F. Austin finished shooting 52.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of 19 attempts. In addition, Stephen F. Austin grabbed 40 boards (16 offensive, 24 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Stephen F. Austin distributed 14 assists and had 5 steals for the contest. In relation to the defense, Arkansas State allowed 48.6% from the floor on 34 out of 70 shooting. They also distributed 10 assists for this game while forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and getting 12 steals. In regard to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 22 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Red Wolves buried 26 of their 33 shots for a rate of 78.8%. Arkansas State walked away from the game with a 31.5% FG percentage (17 out of 54) and made 5 out of their 27 shots from distance.

Joey Chammaa is one guy who was a contributor for the contest. He ended up going 60.0% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out. He played 25 mins but didn't pull down any boards. He finished with 17 points on 3 out of 5 shooting.

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Arkansas State will enter this game with a mark of 1-1 this year. They have an average of 77.0 pts per contest (229th in the nation) while hitting 40.0% from the floor. The Red Wolves are shooting 27.8% on shots from downtown (15 of 54) and 83.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Arkansas State is pulling down 35.5 rebounds per game and has accounted for 23 dimes for the campaign, which is 293rd in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 16.0 times per game and as a team they commit 23.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Red Wolves are forcing 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 22.0 fouls. They give up 33.9% on shots from distance while they are 321st in college hoops in points per game allowed (87.5). The Red Wolves defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 48.9% (65 of 133) and they surrender 37.0 rebounds per game as a team. They rank 169th in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 25 conceded on the campaign.

In their last game, the Missouri State Bears walked away with a victory by a final of 106-57 against Northwestrn Oklahoma State. Regarding how they cleaned up the glass, Missouri State allowed Northwestrn Oklahoma State to get 25 in all (6 offensive). They finished 23.5% from distance by shooting 4 of 17 and ended up shooting 11 out of 19 at the charity stripe (57.9%). The Bears permitted Northwestrn Oklahoma State to convert 21 out of 59 tries from the field which had them sitting at 35.6% for the game. Overall, the Bears shot 41 out of 68 from the floor which had them shooting 60.3%. With respect to shooting from beyond the arc, Missouri State converted 10 of their 25 attempts (40.0%). They were able to knock down 14 of the free throws for a clip of 58.3%. Northwestrn Oklahoma State was called for 18 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Bears to the charity stripe for 24 shots. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 8 steals for this game. The Bears recorded 37 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds for a total of 49 in this contest.

Keith Palek III was important for the Bears for this contest. He racked up 20 points in his 26 mins of playing time and accumulated 8 assists for the contest. He made 7 of 12 for the contest giving him a rate of 58.3%, and had 7 rebounds.

Missouri State has a win-loss record of 2-0 this season. The Bears commit 14.0 fouls per contest while shooting 68.9% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 23.0 times per contest (14th in D-1) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.0 times per contest. Missouri State has totaled 194 pts for the year (97.0 per contest) and they snag 52.5 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Bears are shooting 50.3% from the field, which has them ranked 77th in the nation.

The Bears on defense are ranked 89th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 63.5. They have forced 12.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 37.9% from the field (98th in the country). The Missouri State defense concedes 25.0% on shots from 3-point land (10 of 40) and their opposition makes 54.8% of their foul shots. They have given up 12.5 dimes and 33.5 boards per contest, ranking them 184th and 154th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Arkansas State

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