Central Arkansas Bears vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 11/3/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Central Arkansas Bears vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Monday, November 3, 2025

Location: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, NC

TV: ACC Network

The Central Arkansas Bears (9-24 last year) are en route to Dean E. Smith Center on Monday where they will go up against the North Carolina Tar Heels (23-14 last season).

The Central Arkansas Bears faced off with Lipscomb and took a loss by a score of 84-66 in their last contest. Central Arkansas ended the contest having earned a 40.4% field goal percentage (23 out of 57) and buried 8 out of their 30 3-pointers. At the free throw line, the Bears converted 12 of their 12 tries for a rate of 100.0%. In regard to hauling in boards, they earned 28 with 5 of them being offensive. They also recorded 10 assists in this game while creating 9 turnovers and having 3 steals. In reference to the defense, Central Arkansas allowed the other team to shoot 50.8% from the field on 31 out of 61 shooting. Lipscomb totaled 16 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. Additionally, Lipscomb grabbed 36 rebounds (7 offensive, 29 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Lipscomb finished the contest at 81.8% from the charity stripe by burying 9 of 11 attempts. They also knocked down 13 of 36 tries from downtown. When discussing personal fouls, the Bears walked away with 12 while Lipscomb accounted for 8 personal fouls.

Brayden Fagbemi is a player who came through in this game. He finished the contest at 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 4 dimes. He was on the court for 39 minutes and also pulled down 3 boards. He left the arena with 20 points on 7 of 14 shooting.

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Central Arkansas comes into this game after finishing with a win-loss record of 9-24 last season. They lost possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest and as a team committed 13.6 personal fouls per game. As a group, Central Arkansas snagged 35.8 boards per game and totaled 453 dimes throughout last season, which was 163rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Bears shot 29.4% on three-point attempts (283 of 962) and 71.9% from the free throw line. They had an average of 70.2 points per game (275th in the country) while hitting 41.0% from the field.

Defensively, the Bears forced their opponents into 11.7 turnovers per contest and they drew 14.8 personal fouls. They were ranked 363rd in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 564 conceded last year. The Bears gave up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.9% (928 of 2,021) and they conceded 36.8 rebounds per contest as a team. They gave up 38.4% on shots from distance and they ranked 328th in D-1 in PPG allowed (78.1).

In their last game, the North Carolina Tar Heels walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 71-64 when they faced Ole Miss. The Tar Heels were able to collect 24 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in the game. They also turned the ball over 9 times, while getting 9 steals in the matchup. Ole Miss was called for 17 fouls in this game which took the Tar Heels to the free throw line for 16 attempts. They were able to make 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 68.8%. With regard to shots from beyond the arc, North Carolina buried 5 of 24 attempts (20.8%). At the conclusion of this game, the Tar Heels went 24 for 63 from the field which had them sitting at 38.1%. The Tar Heels allowed Ole Miss to make 24 out of 54 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 44.4% in this contest. They went 40.0% from 3-point land by going 8 out of 20 and ended up going 15 out of 23 from the charity stripe (65.2%). Concerning team rebounding, North Carolina allowed Ole Miss to collect 39 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

RJ Davis ended up being a factor for the Tar Heels for the contest. He converted 6 out of 17 for the matchup giving him a rate of 35.3%, and tallied 3 rebounds. He earned 15 points in his 37 mins on the court and had 3 dimes in the game.

North Carolina had a mark of 23-14 last year. As an offense, the Tar Heels shot 47.5% from the floor, which was ranked 42nd in the country. North Carolina totaled 2,987 points last season (80.7 per contest) and they grabbed 36.7 rebounds per game. They dished out assists 14.8 times per contest (96th in Division 1) and they coughed up possession 10.7 times per contest. The Tar Heels committed 16.9 fouls per contest and they hit 74.1% from the charity stripe.

The Tar Heels on the defensive side of the court were 261st in college in PPG allowed with 74.7. They forced 10.9 TO's per game and allowed teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (138th in D-1). The North Carolina defense gave up 33.5% on shots from 3-point land (290 of 866) and opponents connected on 74.0% of their foul shots. They relinquished 12.6 assists and 33.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, ranking them 128th and 139th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Central Arkansas

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