Fairfield Stags vs Merrimack Warriors Prediction, 12/7/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fairfield Stags vs Merrimack Warriors

Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025

Location: Hammel Court in North Andover, MA

TV: ESPN+

Hammel Court is the location where the Merrimack Warriors (3-6) will attempt to defeat the Fairfield Stags (5-3) on Sunday.

The Fairfield Stags faced New Hampshire and earned the victory with a final of 72-68 in their last contest. Fairfield finished the contest with a 45.8% field goal percentage (27 of 59) and converted 8 out of their 18 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Stags converted 10 of 17 tries for a percentage of 58.8%. In reference to rebounding, they earned 39 with 11 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 14 assists for the matchup while forcing 7 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In the matter of defense, Fairfield allowed their opponent to shoot 39.3% from the field on 24 out of 61 shooting. New Hampshire doled out 12 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. Additionally, New Hampshire pulled down 31 boards (10 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't have a block. New Hampshire ended up going 63.6% at the free throw line by making 14 of their 22 attempts. They converted 6 out of their 19 attempts from 3-point land. With respect to fouls, the Stags walked away with 18 while New Hampshire recorded 17 fouls.

Braden Sparks is a player who was a major factor in this matchup. He ended up scoring 22 points on 7 of 9 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 35 minutes played and also totaled 5 rebounds. He finished the contest at 77.8% from the floor and also recorded 3 dimes.

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Fairfield will enter this contest with a mark of 5-3 for the campaign. They have an average of 75.6 points per contest (225th in the nation) while going 41.6% from the floor. The Stags are shooting 32.3% on shots from downtown (61 of 189) and 72.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Fairfield is snagging 39.4 boards per contest and is sitting with 86 assists so far this year, which is 343rd in college hoops in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.1 times per game and as a squad they are committing 16.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Stags are able to force 10.6 turnovers every game while drawing 16.9 personal fouls. They are surrendering 35.1% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 267th in Division 1 in points per game allowed (77.6). The Stags defense is allowing a FG percentage of 45.8% (223 of 487) and they surrender 37.5 boards per game as a squad. They are 191st in college in giving up assists with 108 conceded this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Merrimack Warriors took home the win by a final score of 68-66 when they faced Rider. The Warriors snagged 13 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards totaling 17 in this matchup. They also coughed up the ball 8 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. Rider was called for 14 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Warriors to the charity stripe for 11 tries. They were able to convert 7 of the free throws for a rate of 63.6%. With respect to three-point shots, Merrimack buried 11 of 29 attempts (37.9%). At the conclusion of this game, the Warriors shot 25 out of 54 from the field which had them at 46.3%. The Warriors permitted Rider to knock down 26 of their 54 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 48.1% for the matchup. They went 33.3% from three-point range by connecting on 4 of 12 and finished the game at 10 of 16 from the charity stripe (62.5%). In regard to cleaning up the glass, Merrimack allowed Rider to snag 39 in total (12 on the offensive glass).

Andres Marrero ended up having an impact for the Warriors for the matchup. He knocked down 9 out of 14 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 64.3%, and totaled 3 rebounds. He tallied 23 points in his 28 minutes of playing time, but finished this game without an assist.

Merrimack has a win-loss mark of 3-6 on the campaign. The Warriors commit 19.0 personal fouls per game while shooting 76.3% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 11.9 times per contest (314th in college) and they are turning it over 11.0 times per contest. Merrimack has earned 582 points for the season (64.7 per game) and they grab 28.7 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Warriors are shooting 36.7% from the floor, which ranks them 361st in the nation.

The Warriors defensively are ranked 231st in college in points allowed per contest with 76.1. They are able to force 13.6 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 47.1% from the floor (315th in college). The Merrimack defense allows 32.7% on 3-pointers (54 of 165) and opponents are connecting on 71.9% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 15.4 assists and 42.2 boards every game, which ranks 294th and 355th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fairfield

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