Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 12/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPN+

Pan American Center is where the New Mexico State Aggies (6-3) will go up against the Sam Houston State Bearkats (7-3) on Sunday.

The Sam Houston State Bearkats faced Oregon State and took home the win by a score of 85-75 in their last contest. Sam Houston State ended the game having earned a 44.6% FG percentage (29 out of 65) and made 10 of 27 shots from distance. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bearkats buried 17 of 23 attempts for a percentage of 73.9%. In the matter of getting rebounds, they earned 43 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 18 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. In the matter of the defense, Sam Houston State let their opponent shoot 44.1% from the field on 26 out of 59 shooting. Oregon State earned 13 dimes and had 7 steals for the contest. Additionally, Oregon State pulled down 26 rebounds (4 offensive, 22 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Oregon State ended up going 73.7% from the charity stripe by burying 14 of 19 shots. They made 9 of their 34 shots from three-point range. In regard to personal fouls, the Bearkats finished with 20 while Oregon State recorded 20 personal fouls.

Kashie Natt is one player who was a major contributor in the matchup. He ended up shooting 62.5% from the floor and totaled 1 assist. He saw the court for 27 minutes played and also totaled 5 boards. He notched 19 points on 5 out of 8 shooting.

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Sam Houston State will take the court with a record of 7-3 for the season. They currently have an average of 86.2 pts per game (54th in Division 1) while going 46.0% from the field. The Bearkats are shooting 34.5% on shots from distance (90 of 261) and 77.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Sam Houston State is grabbing 42.9 rebounds per contest and has racked up 160 dimes for the year, which is 217th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.4 times per contest and as a team they are committing 21.1 fouls per game.

On defense, the Bearkats are able to force 12.9 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They rank 72nd in college hoops in allowing assists with 129 surrendered so far this year. The Bearkats defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 40.2% (248 of 617) and they relinquish 34.9 boards per game as a unit. They concede 27.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 234th in D-1 in PPG allowed (75.3).

When they last played, the New Mexico State Aggies went home defeated by a final of 83-70 when they faced Tulsa. The Aggies collected 15 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 23 in the game. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while earning 8 steals in this matchup. Tulsa had 20 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Aggies to the charity stripe for a total of 26 shots. They were able to convert 18 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 69.2%. When talking about three-point attempts, New Mexico State buried 6 of 18 tries (33.3%). When all was said and done, the Aggies shot 22 out of 56 from the field which had them sitting at 39.3%. The Aggies permitted Tulsa to bury 21 of 44 attempts from the field which had them at 47.7% for this game. They finished shooting 44.4% from beyond the perimeter by going 12 of 27 and walked away from this one shooting 29 of 35 from the free throw line (82.9%). In regard to team rebounding, New Mexico State allowed Tulsa to grab 28 in total (5 offensive).

Julius Mims ended up being a major contributor for the Aggies for the matchup. He converted 6 of 13 for the matchup for a rate of 46.2%, and accumulated 5 rebounds. He recorded 16 points in his 31 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to earn an assist.

New Mexico State has a win-loss record of 6-3 this season. As an offense, the Aggies are shooting 42.3% from the floor, which is ranked 313th in the nation. New Mexico State has earned 662 points so far this year (73.6 per game) and they grab 36.7 boards per contest. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 13.0 times per contest (286th in college) and they turn it over 12.0 times per contest. The Aggies are responsible for committing 21.6 personal fouls per contest while shooting 71.2% from the free throw line.

The New Mexico State defense concedes 29.4% on shots from distance (62 of 211) and their opposition makes 77.5% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 9.9 dimes and 32.3 rebounds per game, which ranks them 12th and 87th in those defensive categories. The Aggies defensively are ranked 68th in college in PPG surrendered with 67.8. They are forcing their opponents into 14.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.4% from the field (36th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New Mexico State

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