Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Pepperdine Waves Prediction, 11/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs Pepperdine Waves

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, CA

TV: ESPN+

Firestone Fieldhouse is the location where the Pepperdine Waves (3-2) will try to defeat the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (4-1) on Friday.

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks played Fresno State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 80-78 in their last contest. In the matter of personal fouls, the Lumberjacks ended up with 16 and Fresno State recorded 10 personal fouls. They also converted 5 of 12 attempts from beyond the arc. Fresno State ended up shooting 57.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 11 of 19 tries. Additionally, Fresno State pulled down 30 boards (7 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Fresno State distributed 18 assists and had 10 steals in this matchup. Regarding defense, Stephen F. Austin allowed the other team to shoot 59.3% from the floor on 32 out of 54 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists for this game while creating 12 turnovers and having 8 steals. Concerning pulling down boards, they compiled 35 with 16 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Lumberjacks made 3 of 6 tries for a rate of 50.0%. Stephen F. Austin walked away from the game with a 45.2% FG percentage (33 out of 73) and converted 9 of their 29 shots from 3-point land.

Lateef Patrick Jr. is a guy who was a major contributor for the matchup. He finished with 27 points on 11 of 21 shooting. He saw the court for 33 mins and totaled 3 rebounds. He finished 52.4% from the field and earned 1 assist.

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Stephen F. Austin enters this matchup with a mark of 4-1 this year. They average 85.6 pts per contest (97th in the nation) while hitting 47.3% from the floor. The Lumberjacks are shooting 40.1% on shots from downtown (55 of 137) and 59.6% from the charity stripe. As a team, Stephen F. Austin is pulling down 40.4 boards per game and has earned 75 dimes on the season, which ranks 136th in college in terms of passing. They are turning it over 10.2 times per contest and as a squad are committing 20.0 personal fouls per game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Lumberjacks are forcing 12.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.2 fouls. They are ranked 137th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 56 surrendered on the season. The Lumberjacks defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.8% (121 of 283) and they concede 34.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They surrender 28.8% on shots from distance while they are 152nd in college in points per game allowed (71.2).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Pepperdine Waves got the win with a final of 90-79 against New Orleans. The Waves were able to pull down 21 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 30 in this contest. They also coughed it up 6 times, while getting 6 steals in the game. New Orleans committed 21 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Waves to the charity stripe for 28 shots. They were able to knock down 25 of those for a clip of 89.3%. With regard to 3-point shots, Pepperdine knocked down 7 of 25 tries (28.0%). When the final whistle was blown, the Waves finished 29 out of 64 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.3%. The Waves permitted New Orleans to convert 25 out of 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.3% in this game. They finished the game shooting 41.4% from distance by shooting 12 out of 29 and ended up shooting 17 out of 24 at the free throw line (70.8%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, Pepperdine allowed New Orleans to collect 35 in total (11 on the offensive side).

Javon Cooley ended up having an impact for the Waves in this game. He totaled 23 points in his 35 mins of playing time and tallied 3 dimes in the game. He made 5 of 13 in the game giving him a rate of 38.5%, and totaled 7 rebounds.

Pepperdine has a mark of 3-2 on the season. The Waves are committing 18.6 fouls per contest and they shoot 75.2% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.8 times per game (64th in college) and they turn it over 10.8 times per contest. Pepperdine has earned 435 points for the campaign (87.0 per contest) and they collect 41.2 rebounds per contest. As an offensive unit, the Waves are hitting on 46.9% from the floor, which ranks 135th in the nation.

The Pepperdine defense concedes 37.1% on shots from 3-point land (49 of 132) and opponents are knocking down 72.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 13.2 dimes and 32.6 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 177th and 103rd in the nation. The Waves defensively are ranked 280th in Division 1 in PPG allowed with 79.4. They are able to force 13.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the floor (268th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Stephen F. Austin

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