Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Air Force Falcons (3-28) are en route to Thomas & Mack Center on Wednesday where they will take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (20-11) in the Mountain West Tournament.

The Air Force Falcons faced off with Nevada and ended up losing by a score of 74-59 in their last game. Air Force finished the contest having earned a 49.0% FG percentage (25 out of 51) and converted 2 of their 12 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Falcons knocked down 7 of 17 attempts for a percentage of 41.2%. Regarding pulling down boards, they compiled a total of 19 with 2 of them being offensive. They also doled out 5 dimes in the matchup while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Concerning defending, Air Force let their opponent shoot 48.2% from the field on 27 of 56 shooting. Nevada doled out 15 assists and had 5 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Nevada grabbed 35 rebounds (8 offensive, 27 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Nevada walked away from this one shooting 80.0% at the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of their 20 shots. They made 4 of their 18 attempts from 3-point range. Regarding fouls, the Falcons finished with 18 while Nevada finished the game with 16 fouls.

Kam Sanders is a guy who played a role for the contest. He finished with 14 points on 6 of 13 shooting. He played 34 mins and also grabbed 1 rebound. He went 46.2% from the field and also distributed 3 assists.

Get all of our NCAA Betting Picks

Air Force will play this game with a win-loss record of 3-28 this year. They turn the ball over 14.7 times per game and as a team they commit 17.7 fouls every game. As a team, Air Force is pulling down 29.0 rebounds per game and has tallied 382 dimes so far this year, which ranks 301st in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Falcons are shooting 31.3% on three-point attempts (207 of 662) and 63.4% from the free throw line. They average 62.1 pts per contest (364th in the nation) while shooting 43.0% from the floor.

On defense, the Falcons are forcing 10.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.8 personal fouls. They are 296th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 471 conceded this year. The Falcons defense is giving up a FG percentage of 49.2% (874 of 1,777) and they concede 35.5 rebounds per game as a group. They are relinquishing 38.0% on shots from distance and they rank 327th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (79.9).

In their last game, the Nevada Wolf Pack took home the win by a final score of 74-59 against Air Force. The Wolf Pack corralled 27 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards for a total of 35 for this contest. They also turned it over 10 times, while getting 5 steals in this contest. Air Force committed 18 fouls for the matchup which took the Wolf Pack to the charity stripe for a total of 20 attempts. They were able to make 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 80.0%. In regard to shooting from distance, Nevada converted 4 out of 18 tries (22.2%). When the final whistle blew, the Wolf Pack ended up going 27 for 56 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.2%. The Wolf Pack permitted Air Force to convert 25 out of their 51 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 49.0% in this matchup. They finished shooting 16.7% from distance by going 2 of 12 and finished the game at 7 out of 17 at the free throw line (41.2%). In regard to cleaning the glass, Nevada permitted Air Force to collect 19 in total (2 offensive).

Corey Camper Jr. ended up being a factor for the Wolf Pack in this game. He totaled 18 points in his 33 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 dimes in the matchup. He made 7 of 17 in the game for a rate of 41.2%, and had 4 rebounds.

Nevada has a win-loss mark of 20-11 so far this year. The Wolf Pack are committing 18.0 fouls every game and they go 75.1% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 14.2 times per game (155th in college hoops) and they cough up possession 9.8 times per contest. Nevada has accumulated 2,352 points for the season (75.9 per game) and they average 35.9 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Wolf Pack are shooting 43.8% from the field, which ranks them 270th in the nation.

The Nevada defense gives up 34.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (256 of 733) and their opponents are connecting on 70.6% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 13.6 assists and 33.2 boards per game, which is ranked 197th and 104th in the country. The Wolf Pack defensively are ranked 121st in the nation in PPG given up with 71.9. They are forcing 11.6 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 44.2% from the floor (180th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nevada

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.