Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Air Force Falcons vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Nevada Wolf Pack (19-11) will go up against the Air Force Falcons (3-27) at Lawlor Events Center on Saturday.

The Air Force Falcons played Grand Canyon and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 86-60 in their last game. Air Force ended the game having earned a 42.2% field goal percentage (19 of 45) and buried 4 out of their 17 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Falcons converted 18 of 26 attempts for a rate of 69.2%. With regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected 20 with 0 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 14 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 4 steals. In reference to defense, Air Force allowed 56.4% from the floor on 31 of 55 shooting. Grand Canyon distributed 17 assists and had 4 steals for the game. On top of that, Grand Canyon snagged 32 boards (4 offensive, 28 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Grand Canyon walked away from this one shooting 71.4% at the charity stripe by making 15 of their 21 attempts. They also buried 9 of 21 tries from beyond the arc. When it comes to personal fouls, the Falcons ended up with 20 while Grand Canyon racked up 20 personal fouls.

Kam Sanders is a guy who played a role for this contest. He finished the game shooting 50.0% from the field and totaled 5 assists. He was on the court for 32 mins played but had no rebounds when the time ran out. He ended up finishing with 18 points on 6 out of 12 shooting.

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Air Force steps onto the hardwood with a record of 3-27 for the year. They currently have an average of 62.2 points per contest (364th in Division 1) while shooting 42.8% from the field. The Falcons are connecting on 31.5% from downtown (205 of 650) and 64.1% from the free throw line. As a unit, Air Force is collecting 29.3 boards per game and has earned 377 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 286th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 14.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 17.7 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Falcons are forcing 10.1 turnovers per game and they draw 17.9 fouls. They are currently ranked 298th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 456 relinquished this year. The Falcons are allowing a field goal percentage of 49.2% (847 of 1,721) and they concede 35.4 boards per game as a team. They concede 38.4% on shots from distance while they are 334th in the country in PPG allowed (80.1).

When they last played, the Nevada Wolf Pack walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-73 against Wyoming. Regarding how they attacked the glass, Nevada allowed Wyoming to collect 29 in total (2 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 42.9% from three-point range by connecting on 9 out of 21 and finished the game at 16 of 27 from the free throw line (59.3%). The Wolf Pack permitted Wyoming to bury 29 of their 46 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 63.0% in the matchup. In all, the Wolf Pack finished shooting 25 for 54 from the field which had them at 46.3%. With respect to shooting from 3-point land, Nevada buried 4 out of their 15 attempts (26.7%). They were able to make 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 65.5%. Wyoming had 21 fouls for this contest which got the Wolf Pack to the charity stripe for a total of 29 shots. They coughed up the ball 6 times, while earning 5 steals in this contest. The Wolf Pack recorded 18 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 for the contest.

Elijah Price pitched in for the Wolf Pack in this contest. He converted 6 of 8 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 75.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds. He tallied 20 points in his 25 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to get an assist.

Nevada has a win-loss record of 19-11 on the year. When it comes to offense, the Wolf Pack are shooting 43.6% from the field, which has them ranked 280th in the nation. Nevada has scored 2,278 points on the season (75.9 per contest) and they grab 35.7 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 14.2 times per game (157th in college hoops) and they cough up possession 9.8 times per game. The Wolf Pack commit 18.0 personal fouls every game and they shoot 75.0% from the charity stripe.

The Wolf Pack on the defensive end are ranked 136th in D-1 in points given up per game with 72.4. They are able to force 11.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 44.0% from the field (164th in Division 1). The Nevada defense gives up 35.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (254 of 721) and opponents are converting on 71.4% of their foul shots. They concede 13.9 assists and 33.6 total boards per game, which ranks them 222nd and 134th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Nevada

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