Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona State Sun Devils vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX

TV: ESPN+

Foster Pavilion is the site where the Baylor Bears (13-13) will go up against the Arizona State Sun Devils (14-12) on Saturday.

The Arizona State Sun Devils took the court against Texas Tech and went home with a win by a final score of 72-67 in their last game. Arizona State walked away from the contest with a 44.1% field goal percentage (26 of 59) and converted 7 of 18 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Sun Devils buried 13 of their 17 tries for a rate of 76.5%. In terms of grabbing boards, they earned a total of 26 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 14 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and getting 9 steals. In the matter of the defense, Arizona State allowed the other team to go 44.4% from the field on 24 out of 54 shooting. Texas Tech dished out 15 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. Furthermore, Texas Tech snagged 29 rebounds (6 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Texas Tech finished the game at 76.9% when shooting free throws by making 10 of their 13 attempts. They also knocked down 9 of 22 shots from distance. In relation to fouls, the Sun Devils ended up with 15 and Texas Tech finished the game with 19 fouls.

Moe Odum is a player who played a role for the contest. He ended up walking away with 23 points on 6 out of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins and also collected 2 rebounds. He went 50.0% from the floor and totaled 3 assists.

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Arizona State enters this game with a record of 14-12 so far this season. They average 78.5 points per game (123rd in Division 1) while hitting 44.9% from the field. The Sun Devils are hitting 34.2% on shots from distance (201 of 587) and 75.0% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Arizona State is pulling in 33.2 rebounds per contest and has totaled 364 assists this season, which ranks 208th in college in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 11.3 times per game and as a squad they are committing 17.3 personal fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Sun Devils have forced 13.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.5 personal fouls. They currently rank 269th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 385 conceded for the year. The Sun Devils defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.0% (709 of 1,540) and they surrender 36.0 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 35.3% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 308th in the country in PPG allowed (78.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the Baylor Bears took a loss by a score of 90-74 when they played Kansas State. The Bears pulled down 21 defensive boards and 15 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 in this contest. They coughed it up 19 times, while getting 11 steals in this game. Kansas State had 18 fouls for the game which took the Bears to the free throw line for a total of 21 tries. They were able to bury 15 of the free throws for a clip of 71.4%. In the matter of 3-point attempts, Baylor buried 3 of 24 attempts (12.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Bears went 28 out of 70 from the field which gave them a percentage of 40.0%. The Bears allowed Kansas State to convert 34 out of their 60 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 56.7% in this contest. They finished 47.1% from behind the 3-point line by going 8 out of 17 and ended up going 14 of 17 from the charity stripe (82.4%). In regard to attacking the glass, Baylor allowed Kansas State to collect 24 in total (3 on the offensive glass).

Isaac Williams ended up being a major contributor for the Bears in this matchup. He accumulated 16 points in his 30 mins on the court and had 6 assists for the matchup. He buried 6 of 11 for this game for a field goal rate of 54.5%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

Baylor has a mark of 13-13 on the season. The Bears commit 16.3 personal fouls every game and they connect on 72.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.6 times per contest (86th in college hoops) and they are turning it over 11.9 times per game. Baylor has totaled 2,158 points for the season (83.0 per contest) and they collect 38.0 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Bears are connecting on 47.5% from the field, which ranks them 53rd in college hoops.

The Bears defensively are ranked 253rd in college in PPG given up with 76.7. They are forcing 11.5 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.7% from the field (223rd in college hoops). The Baylor defense allows 34.4% on 3-point attempts (192 of 558) and their opponents are connecting on 75.2% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 13.5 dimes and 32.7 rebounds per game, which is 189th and 72nd in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona State

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