Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 2/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boise State Broncos vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, February 7, 2026

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Pit is where the New Mexico Lobos (18-5) will try to defeat the Boise State Broncos (14-9) on Saturday.

The Boise State Broncos stepped onto the hardwood against Nevada and notched a win by a score of 91-87 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Broncos ended up finishing with 17 while Nevada had 25 fouls. They converted 10 of 24 shots from long range. Nevada finished the game shooting 68.4% from the free throw line by making 13 of 19 tries. Furthermore, Nevada collected 20 rebounds (4 offensive, 16 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Nevada earned 13 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. With respect to defense, Boise State let their opponent shoot 49.2% from the field on 32 of 65 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for the matchup while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and having 3 steals. Regarding hauling in boards, they compiled 32 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. When they shot from the free throw line, the Broncos made 27 of their 35 attempts for a percentage of 77.1%. Boise State ended the contest with a 51.9% FG percentage (28 out of 54) and made 8 out of their 25 shots from downtown.

Dylan Andrews is one guy who was a major contributor for the contest. He finished 58.3% from the floor and distributed 6 assists. He played for 35 minutes played and pulled down 3 rebounds. He ended up with 25 points on 7 of 12 shooting.

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Boise State will enter this matchup with a mark of 14-9 this season. They average 78.7 points per contest (131st in college) while shooting 45.1% from the floor. The Broncos are hitting 33.8% on shots from distance (186 of 550) and 76.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Boise State is collecting 36.2 boards per contest and has totaled 318 assists on the year, which is 204th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 11.7 times per game and as a team are committing 18.0 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Broncos are forcing their opponents into 10.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.1 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.3% on shots from distance while they are 177th in college in opponents points per game (73.4). The Broncos are giving up a FG percentage of 45.7% (600 of 1,313) and they surrender 29.6 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 95th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 281 conceded this season.

The last time they took the court, the New Mexico Lobos took a loss by a score of 86-66 when they faced Utah State. When it comes to team rebounding, New Mexico allowed Utah State to collect 36 overall (9 on the offensive side). They shot 35.5% from downtown by shooting 11 out of 31 and walked away from this one shooting 15 of 22 from the free throw line (68.2%). The Lobos allowed Utah State to bury 30 out of their 60 tries from the field which had them sitting at 50.0% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Lobos went 21 out of 51 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.2%. When talking about three-point attempts, New Mexico made 3 out of their 13 attempts (23.1%). They were able to knock down 21 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 70.0%. Utah State had 23 personal fouls for the game which took the Lobos to the free throw line for a total of 30 shots. They also turned it over 14 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. The Lobos pulled down 21 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards for a total of 28 in the game.

Tomislav Buljan ended up having an impact for the Lobos for this game. He had 17 points in his 29 mins on the hardwood and had 2 assists for this contest. He knocked down 4 out of 8 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 7 rebounds.

New Mexico has a win-loss mark of 18-5 on the campaign. The Lobos are committing 17.5 fouls per game while shooting 75.1% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 14.8 times per game (138th in the country) and they turn the ball over 11.0 times per contest. New Mexico has 1,860 points on the campaign (80.9 per game) and they pull in 36.6 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Lobos are shooting 45.6% from the field, which is ranked 158th in college.

The New Mexico defense allows 29.3% on shots from distance (187 of 638) and opponents are making 72.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 12.1 dimes and 34.7 rebounds per game, which ranks them 79th and 197th in Division 1. The Lobos defensively are ranked 62nd in college in PPG surrendered with 68.8. They are able to force 14.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.8% from the floor (44th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State

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