Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawaii Warriors Prediction, 2/19/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cal Poly Mustangs vs Hawaii Warriors

Date: Thursday, February 19, 2026

Location: Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, HI

TV: ESPN+

Stan Sheriff Center is where the Hawaii Warriors (18-6) will compete against the Cal Poly Mustangs (11-16) on Thursday.

The Cal Poly Mustangs took the court against UC Santa Barbara and earned the victory with a final of 89-79 in their last contest. Cal Poly finished the game having earned a 52.7% FG percentage (29 out of 55) and converted 10 out of their 27 three-point shots. At the charity stripe, the Mustangs buried 21 of their 26 attempts for a percentage of 80.8%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected 27 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 12 assists in this matchup while creating 8 turnovers and having 3 steals. When discussing defending, Cal Poly allowed 44.1% from the floor on 26 out of 59 shooting. UC Santa Barbara doled out 11 assists and had 3 steals in this game. Moreover, UC Santa Barbara snagged 26 rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't have a block. UC Santa Barbara ended up going 73.7% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of 19 tries. They converted 13 of 34 tries from distance. When discussing personal fouls, the Mustangs walked away with 17 while UC Santa Barbara racked up 21 personal fouls.

Peter Bandelj is someone who was a factor for this game. He notched 18 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. He played for 35 mins played and also pulled down 4 boards. He finished the game shooting 45.5% from the floor and also distributed 2 assists.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

Cal Poly comes into this contest with a mark of 11-16 for the year. They are averaging 81.3 points per outing (72nd in the nation) while hitting 43.4% from the floor. The Mustangs are hitting 33.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (296 of 874) and 77.5% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Cal Poly is grabbing 37.7 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 360 dimes this season, which has them ranked 207th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 16.0 times per contest and as a unit they commit 19.2 fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Mustangs are able to force 12.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.9 fouls. They currently rank 343rd in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 435 surrendered for the campaign. The Mustangs are giving up a FG percentage of 46.0% (810 of 1,761) and they relinquish 37.2 rebounds per contest as a squad. They give up 35.6% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 360th in college in PPG allowed (85.3).

When they last played, the Hawaii Warriors took a loss by a final score of 84-60 when they played Cal State Northridge. The Warriors pulled down 24 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 35 for this game. They turned the ball over 18 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. Cal State Northridge committed 17 fouls in this game which took the Warriors to the charity stripe for a total of 20 tries. They were able to knock down 13 of them for a rate of 65.0%. In the matter of 3-pointers, Hawaii knocked down 7 of their 26 attempts (26.9%). When the game finished, the Warriors shot 20 out of 56 from the field which had them shooting 35.7%. The Warriors permitted Cal State Northridge to bury 30 of their 57 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 52.6% in this matchup. They wrapped up this game 52.9% from 3-point land by shooting 9 out of 17 and ended up shooting 15 out of 21 from the free throw line (71.4%). When talking about rebounds, Hawaii permitted Cal State Northridge to snag 32 in all (6 on the offensive glass).

Isaac Finlinson was important for the Warriors for this game. He racked up 13 points in his 24 mins on the court and totaled 1 assist for this game. He buried 4 out of 7 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and tallied 2 rebounds.

Hawaii has a record of 18-6 so far this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Warriors are shooting 46.2% from the floor, which is ranked 133rd in college. Hawaii has accounted for 1,914 points so far this year (79.8 per game) and they snag 39.8 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 14.3 times per game (158th in college) and they are giving up possession 13.7 times per contest. The Warriors are responsible for committing 17.6 fouls per game and they hit 73.5% from the charity stripe.

The Hawaii defense concedes 27.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (123 of 442) and opponents are connecting on 66.7% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 9.0 dimes and 32.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 1st and 85th in those defensive categories. The Warriors on the defensive side of the court are 37th in D-1 in points given up per game with 67.8. They are able to force 12.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 40.6% from the floor (36th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Cal Poly

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.