Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 3/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Colorado State Rams vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Pit is the site where the New Mexico Lobos (22-7) will go up against the Colorado State Rams (19-10) on Wednesday.

The Colorado State Rams took the court against San Jose State and earned the victory with a final of 85-73 in their last contest. Colorado State walked away from the game with a 62.2% field goal percentage (28 out of 45) and converted 9 of their 17 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Rams knocked down 20 of their 24 attempts for a rate of 83.3%. In regard to rebounding, they compiled a total of 28 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 19 assists in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and having 1 steal. In terms of defense, Colorado State allowed 45.3% from the field on 24 out of 53 shooting. San Jose State dished out 14 dimes and had 6 steals for the game. Moreover, San Jose State snagged 19 rebounds (6 offensive, 13 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. San Jose State finished the game at 72.0% at the charity stripe by burying 18 of 25 attempts. They buried 7 of their 21 attempts from 3-point range. With respect to fouls, the Rams left the arena with 19 and San Jose State recorded 19 fouls.

Brandon Rechsteiner is one guy who had an impact for this game. He walked away from this one shooting 63.6% from the field and also earned 1 assist. He was on the court for 31 mins and also pulled down 4 boards. He accounted for 20 points on 7 out of 11 shooting.

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Colorado State will play this game with a win-loss mark of 19-10 this season. They are turning it over 11.6 times per game and as a team are committing 16.6 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Colorado State is pulling in 32.7 rebounds per game and has tallied 460 assists for the year, which has them ranked 89th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Rams are connecting on 39.4% from downtown (286 of 725) and 77.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 77.0 pts per contest (151st in college hoops) while shooting 49.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Rams are forcing 9.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.0 fouls. They currently rank 56th in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 351 conceded on the campaign. The Rams are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.1% (725 of 1,609) and they relinquish 28.9 boards per contest as a squad. They are relinquishing 34.8% on three-point shots while they are 103rd in the nation in PPG allowed (71.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the New Mexico Lobos walked away with a victory by a final of 81-76 when they played San Diego State. When it comes to rebounding, New Mexico permitted San Diego State to grab 34 in total (6 on the offensive side). They shot 29.0% from downtown by going 9 out of 31 and ended up going 13 out of 22 from the free throw line (59.1%). The Lobos permitted San Diego State to bury 27 of their 60 tries from the field which had them shooting 45.0% in this contest. At the conclusion of this game, the Lobos finished the game shooting 24 for 61 from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.3%. In terms of shots from distance, New Mexico converted 8 out of their 23 attempts (34.8%). They were able to make 25 of the free throws for a clip of 69.4%. San Diego State earned 23 fouls in the game which got the Lobos to the charity stripe for a total of 36 tries. They coughed up the ball 6 times, while recording 4 steals in this contest. The Lobos earned 25 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds totaling 39 in the matchup.

Tomislav Buljan ended up being a factor for the Lobos for the matchup. He made 10 out of 15 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 18 rebounds. He earned 24 points in his 32 minutes of playing time and had 1 assist in this game.

New Mexico has a win-loss record of 22-7 this year. The Lobos have committed 17.3 fouls per game and they connect on 73.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 14.6 times per game (132nd in D-1) and they lose possession via turnover 10.8 times per contest. New Mexico has scored 2,339 pts so far this season (80.7 per game) and they pull in 36.4 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lobos are connecting on 45.9% from the floor, which ranks 147th in college.

The Lobos on defense are ranked 70th in college in points given up per game with 69.7. They are forcing their opponents into 13.6 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.3% from the field (40th in college). The New Mexico defense allows 29.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (234 of 800) and their opposition makes 73.0% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 12.5 assists and 34.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 105th and 198th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New Mexico

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