Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 1/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Fresno State Bulldogs vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Fresno State Bulldogs (9-9) are on their way to The Pit on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the New Mexico Lobos (14-4).

The Fresno State Bulldogs took the court against Wyoming and walked away with a win by a score of 63-60 in their last contest. Fresno State ended the game with a 41.2% field goal percentage (21 out of 51) and converted 3 out of their 18 3-point shots. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Bulldogs made 18 of 27 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they earned 30 with 10 of them being offensive. They also recorded 12 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. With respect to defending, Fresno State allowed the other team to shoot 40.7% from the field on 22 of 54 shooting. Wyoming dished out 10 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Wyoming had 34 boards (11 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Wyoming finished shooting 91.7% at the free throw line by knocking down 11 of their 12 attempts. They also converted 5 of their 19 tries from distance. In the matter of fouls, the Bulldogs ended up with 15 and Wyoming totaled 22 fouls.

David Douglas Jr. is one guy who was a major contributor in this contest. He accounted for 13 points on 3 of 9 shooting. He played 32 minutes and also collected 1 rebound. He finished 33.3% from the field and also dished out 1 assist.

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Fresno State comes into this one with a record of 9-9 for the season. They lose possession via turnover 13.7 times per contest and as a team they commit 16.1 fouls per game. As a team, Fresno State is pulling in 35.2 boards per game and has accounted for 249 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 242nd in college in terms of passing. The Bulldogs are shooting 31.3% on shots from 3-point land (131 of 419) and 74.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 72.5 pts per contest (281st in the nation) while connecting on 44.6% from the floor.

On defense, the Bulldogs have forced 14.1 turnovers every game while drawing 17.7 personal fouls. They relinquish 27.8% on 3-point attempts and they are 94th in college hoops in points per game allowed (70.2). The Bulldogs defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 43.9% (459 of 1,046) and they relinquish 33.8 rebounds per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 112th in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 229 relinquished so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the New Mexico Lobos walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-79 when they played San Diego State. Concerning how they attacked the glass, New Mexico allowed San Diego State to get 36 overall (8 offensive). They finished 41.2% from 3-point land via 7 of 17 and finished the game at 22 of 30 from the free throw line (73.3%). The Lobos permitted San Diego State to make 27 out of their 55 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.1% for the contest. When the final whistle blew, the Lobos finished shooting 26 out of 61 from the floor which had them shooting 42.6%. Concerning shooting from downtown, New Mexico converted 12 of their 30 attempts (40.0%). They were able to convert 15 of the free throw tries for a rate of 71.4%. San Diego State was called for 18 personal fouls in the game which took the Lobos to the charity stripe for 21 attempts. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while getting 10 steals in this contest. The Lobos recorded 26 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 35 in the game.

Tomislav Buljan was important for the Lobos in this matchup. He recorded 20 points in his 29 mins on the court and accumulated 2 dimes for the contest. He made 8 out of 15 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and added 14 rebounds.

New Mexico has a win-loss record of 14-4 for the season. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lobos are hitting on 45.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 167th in the nation. New Mexico has accounted for 1,452 pts this season (80.7 per contest) and they grab 37.0 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 14.6 times per game (161st in D-1) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.3 times per contest. The Lobos commit 17.5 fouls per contest while shooting 75.6% from the free throw line.

The Lobos on defense are ranked 39th in college hoops in points allowed per game with 67.2. They are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 40.1% from the field (36th in college hoops). The New Mexico defense allows 28.7% on shots from beyond the arc (145 of 505) and their opponents are knocking down 71.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 11.7 dimes and 34.3 rebounds every game, which is ranked 57th and 170th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fresno State

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