Grand Canyon Lopes vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Grand Canyon Lopes vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan, UT

TV: ESPN+

The Grand Canyon Lopes (18-10) are traveling to Dee Glen Smith Spectrum on Saturday where they will meet the Utah State Aggies (23-5).

The Grand Canyon Lopes faced UNLV and walked away with a win by a score of 80-67 in their last contest. Grand Canyon finished having earned a 53.2% field goal percentage (25 out of 47) and made 7 of their 15 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Lopes converted 23 of their 31 shots for a percentage of 74.2%. When it comes to rebounding, they compiled a total of 37 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 11 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 1 steal. When discussing defense, Grand Canyon allowed the other team to shoot 40.4% from the floor on 23 of 57 shooting. UNLV doled out 8 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. On top of that, UNLV snagged 26 rebounds (6 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. UNLV walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 28 shots. They also converted 7 of 17 shots from distance. In relation to fouls, the Lopes ended up walking away with 21 and UNLV totaled 27 fouls.

Jaden Henley is a guy who was a contributor in the matchup. He accumulated 28 points on 9 out of 14 shooting. He saw the court for 33 minutes and also pulled down 11 rebounds. He ended up shooting 64.3% from the field and dished out 2 assists.

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Grand Canyon enters this matchup with a mark of 18-10 on the season. They are averaging 75.0 pts per game (209th in Division 1) while connecting on 44.9% from the floor. The Lopes are hitting 30.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (189 of 613) and 75.5% from the free throw line. As a unit, Grand Canyon is snagging 36.5 boards per game and has totaled 347 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 306th in the nation in terms of passing. They cough up possession 12.4 times per contest and as a team they are committing 18.3 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Lopes have forced 12.1 turnovers every game and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They are surrendering 31.8% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 52nd in D-1 in points per game allowed (68.5). The Lopes defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 41.1% (647 of 1,576) and they relinquish 31.9 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 37th in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 322 surrendered on the campaign.

For their last game, the Utah State Aggies walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 89-72 when they faced San Diego State. Regarding rebounding, Utah State allowed San Diego State to get 36 in total (12 on the offensive side). They went 43.8% from three-point range by going 7 of 16 and ended up going 22 of 33 from the charity stripe (66.7%). The Aggies permitted San Diego State to knock down 30 of their 55 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 54.5% for this contest. When this game wrapped up, the Aggies walked away from this one shooting 23 out of 57 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.4%. In terms of shooting from distance, Utah State made 8 out of 27 tries (29.6%). They were able to convert 16 of those for a clip of 66.7%. San Diego State was called for 21 fouls in this matchup which took the Aggies to the free throw line for a total of 24 shots. They also gave up possession 12 times, while getting 6 steals in this matchup. The Aggies corralled 17 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds for a total of 27 in the game.

MJ Collins ended up being a factor for the Aggies for this game. He accumulated 18 points in his 32 mins of playing time and added 1 assist in the game. He buried 6 out of 13 in this matchup for a rate of 46.2%, but wasn't able to snag a rebound.

Utah State has a mark of 23-5 on the campaign. As an offensive team, the Aggies are shooting 50.6% from the field, which has them ranked 9th in the country. Utah State has scored 2,341 points for the season (83.6 per game) and they average 35.1 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 17.8 times per contest (18th in Division 1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 10.9 times per game. The Aggies are committing 19.0 fouls per game and they shoot 70.6% from the charity stripe.

The Aggies are ranked 72nd in college in PPG surrendered with 69.8. They are forcing 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the field (60th in college). The Utah State defense gives up 33.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (209 of 627) and opponents are knocking down 73.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 11.1 assists and 32.2 total boards per game, which has them ranked 30th and 55th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Grand Canyon

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