Hawaii Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs Prediction, 1/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Hawaii Warriors vs Cal Poly Mustangs

Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026

Location: Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Hawaii Warriors (12-3) are en route to Mott Athletics Center on Thursday where they will take on the Cal Poly Mustangs (7-11).

The Hawaii Warriors took the court against UC Irvine and went home with a win by a final score of 67-66 in their last game. In regard to personal fouls, the Warriors ended up with 15 while UC Irvine finished the game with 15 personal fouls. They converted 2 of their 8 attempts from beyond the arc. UC Irvine ended up shooting 80.0% from the free throw line by converting 12 of their 15 shots. Moreover, UC Irvine snagged 40 rebounds (14 offensive, 26 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. UC Irvine distributed 6 assists and had 9 steals in the matchup. In the matter of the defense, Hawaii allowed the other team to shoot 38.8% from the field on 26 of 67 shooting. They also doled out 15 assists for this game as well as forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and having 7 steals. Pertaining to rebounding, they compiled 29 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Warriors made 9 of 13 attempts for a rate of 69.2%. Hawaii finished the contest having earned a 40.6% FG percentage (26 of 64) and converted 6 of their 24 shots from downtown.

Isaac Johnson is one guy who came through in the game. He finished the contest at 50.0% from the floor and earned 1 assist. He saw the court for 13 minutes played and collected 5 rebounds. He scored 15 points on 5 out of 10 shooting.

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Hawaii steps onto the hardwood with a record of 12-3 this season. They are averaging 79.5 pts per game (127th in Division 1) while going 46.8% from the field. The Warriors are connecting on 31.8% on three-point attempts (109 of 343) and 71.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Hawaii is pulling down 40.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 226 dimes this season, which is 253rd in the country in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession by turning the ball over 13.2 times per game and as a team they commit 17.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Warriors are forcing 11.8 turnovers per game while drawing 21.6 fouls. They are giving up 27.2% on 3-point shots while they are 9th in Division 1 in PPG from their opponents (63.4). The Warriors defensively are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 38.3% (341 of 891) and they concede 31.5 rebounds per contest as a group. They currently rank 1st in the country in allowing assists to their opponents with 129 surrendered on the year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Cal Poly Mustangs took home the win by a final score of 84-78 when they played UC Davis. When discussing how they rebounded, Cal Poly permitted UC Davis to collect 32 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished 39.3% from 3-point land by shooting 11 of 28 and finished the contest at 17 of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). The Mustangs permitted UC Davis to knock down 25 of their 63 tries from the floor which had them shooting 39.7% for this game. When the game finished, the Mustangs shot 24 for 57 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.1%. In regard to shooting from downtown, Cal Poly knocked down 10 of 34 tries (29.4%). They were able to convert 26 of those for a rate of 92.9%. UC Davis earned 20 fouls for the contest which got the Mustangs to the free throw line for 28 shots. They also gave up possession 10 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. The Mustangs were able to corral 27 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 32 in this matchup.

Hamad Mousa ended up being a major contributor for the Mustangs for this contest. He made 6 out of 14 for the contest giving him a rate of 42.9%, and accounted for 10 rebounds. He tallied 24 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and had 3 dimes in this matchup.

Cal Poly has a win-loss record of 7-11 so far this year. The Mustangs commit 20.6 personal fouls per game and they shoot 76.3% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 12.7 times per contest (292nd in Division 1) and they cough up possession 15.7 times per contest. Cal Poly has scored 1,465 pts so far this season (81.4 per contest) and they pull down 39.0 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Mustangs are shooting 42.1% from the field, which is 322nd in the nation.

The Mustangs defensively are ranked 355th in college in PPG given up with 85.3. They are forcing their opponents into 12.4 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.1% from the floor (267th in college hoops). The Cal Poly defense gives up 33.7% on 3-point attempts (173 of 513) and opponents are knocking down 72.6% of their free throw shots. They have given up 16.2 dimes and 38.1 rebounds every game, which is 331st and 330th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Hawaii

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