Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, TX

TV: FOX

The Kansas State Wildcats (11-15) are traveling to United Supermarkets Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Texas Tech Red Raiders (19-7).

The Kansas State Wildcats faced Baylor and earned the victory with a final of 90-74 in their last contest. Kansas State walked away from the contest with a 56.7% FG percentage (34 of 60) and buried 8 of their 17 shots from distance. When they shot from the free throw line, the Wildcats made 14 of 17 tries for a rate of 82.4%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 24 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 18 dimes for this game as well as creating 19 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In terms of defending, Kansas State let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the floor on 28 of 70 shooting. Baylor distributed 12 dimes and had 11 steals in this matchup. Additionally, Baylor snagged 36 rebounds (15 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Baylor walked away from this one shooting 71.4% when shooting free throws by making 15 of their 21 attempts. They also converted 3 out of their 24 tries from long range. Concerning fouls, the Wildcats finished with 18 and Baylor finished the game with 16 fouls.

PJ Haggerty is one guy who came through in the matchup. He accumulated 34 points on 15 out of 23 shooting. He played for 38 minutes played and grabbed 5 boards. He finished shooting 65.2% from the field and dished out 3 dimes.

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Kansas State will take the court with a win-loss mark of 11-15 this season. They average 80.6 pts per contest (88th in the country) while shooting 46.1% from the floor. The Wildcats are connecting on 36.7% on shots from distance (256 of 698) and 71.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Kansas State is snagging 34.7 boards per contest and has accounted for 462 assists so far this year, which is 30th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 13.0 times per contest and as a group are committing 19.4 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Wildcats are able to force 12.9 turnovers per game while drawing 15.6 fouls. They are giving up 33.2% on 3-point shots and they are 337th in college hoops in PPG allowed (80.4). The Wildcats are allowing a FG percentage of 45.1% (732 of 1,622) and they relinquish 36.8 boards per game as a unit. They rank 320th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 415 surrendered so far this season.

The last time they took the court, the Texas Tech Red Raiders took a loss by a final score of 72-67 when they played Arizona State. In regard to attacking the glass, Texas Tech permitted Arizona State to grab 26 in all (8 offensive). They finished 38.9% from three-point range by going 7 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 13 of 17 from the free throw line (76.5%). The Red Raiders permitted Arizona State to knock down 26 out of their 59 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.1% in this contest. When the game finished, the Red Raiders went 24 for 54 from the field which had them shooting 44.4%. When discussing shooting from downtown, Texas Tech converted 9 of 22 tries (40.9%). They were able to bury 10 of those for a percentage of 76.9%. Arizona State was called for 15 personal fouls for the contest which took the Red Raiders to the charity stripe for a total of 13 shots. They turned it over 16 times, while earning 4 steals for the matchup. The Red Raiders earned 23 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 29 for this contest.

JT Toppin was important for the Red Raiders for this game. He converted 8 out of 18 for the game for a field goal rate of 44.4%, and accounted for 8 rebounds. He accumulated 20 points in his 32 mins on the hardwood and had 4 assists in the matchup.

Texas Tech has a record of 19-7 so far this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Red Raiders are shooting 46.4% from the floor, which ranks them 121st in the nation. Texas Tech has scored 2,117 pts so far this year (81.4 per game) and they collect 37.7 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.0 times per contest (64th in college hoops) and they are giving up possession 10.7 times per contest. The Red Raiders are responsible for committing 16.3 personal fouls per game and they shoot 71.0% from the charity stripe.

The Texas Tech defense gives up 31.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (170 of 543) and opponents are knocking down 69.8% of their foul shots. They have given up 11.0 assists and 34.2 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 24th and 170th in college. The Red Raiders on the defensive side of the court are 131st in Division 1 in points given up per game with 72.3. They are forcing their opponents into 10.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.8% from the floor (169th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Kansas State

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