Loyola Marymount Lions vs San Francisco Dons Prediction, 2/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Loyola Marymount Lions vs San Francisco Dons

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: The Sobrato Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN+

The San Francisco Dons (14-10) welcome the Loyola Marymount Lions (11-13) at The Sobrato Center on Wednesday.

The Loyola Marymount Lions faced off with Santa Clara and took a loss by a final of 104-73 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Lions left the arena with 17 while Santa Clara accounted for 28 personal fouls. They converted 12 of 31 tries from 3-point land. Santa Clara finished the contest at 81.8% when shooting free throws by burying 18 of 22 attempts. On top of that, Santa Clara snagged 37 rebounds (15 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Santa Clara recorded 17 dimes and had 13 steals in the game. When it comes to the defense, Loyola Marymount allowed the other team to go 51.4% from the field on 37 of 72 shooting. They also doled out 8 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 28 with 8 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Lions converted 27 of 35 shots for a rate of 77.1%. Loyola Marymount finished the game having earned a 43.8% FG percentage (21 out of 48) and converted 4 of their 17 3-pointers.

MJ Amey Jr. is a player who was a factor for the contest. He finished shooting 37.5% from the floor and also totaled 2 assists. He was on the hardwood for 36 minutes played and snagged 7 rebounds. He was able to score 18 points on 6 out of 16 shooting.

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Loyola Marymount will take the court with a win-loss mark of 11-13 this year. They currently have an average of 74.5 pts per game (233rd in college) while going 45.2% from the field. The Lions are connecting on 35.0% from downtown (205 of 585) and 69.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Loyola Marymount is collecting 35.0 rebounds per contest and has earned 331 assists so far this season, which is 138th in college hoops in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 12.9 times per game and as a squad they commit 17.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Lions have forced 12.3 turnovers every game while drawing 17.5 personal fouls. They are 214th in Division 1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 307 surrendered for the year. The Lions are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 41.7% (611 of 1,465) and they surrender 36.8 rebounds per game as a team. They relinquish 33.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 159th in the country in opponents points per game (72.7).

The last time they took the court, the San Francisco Dons walked away with a victory by a final of 87-82 when they faced Pacific. The Dons corralled 20 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 28 for this game. They also coughed up the ball 7 times, while getting 8 steals in the matchup. Pacific committed 22 personal fouls in the game which got the Dons to the charity stripe for a total of 26 attempts. They were able to convert 19 of the free throw tries for a rate of 73.1%. In regard to shots from 3-point land, San Francisco made 8 of 22 tries (36.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Dons went 30 out of 61 from the floor which had them shooting 49.2%. The Dons permitted Pacific to make 30 out of their 59 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.8% in this contest. They shot 47.1% from beyond the perimeter by hitting 8 of 17 and finished the game at 14 out of 15 at the charity stripe (93.3%). With respect to cleaning up the glass, San Francisco allowed Pacific to collect 28 overall (6 on the offensive glass).

David Fuchs ended up being a factor for the Dons in the matchup. He buried 11 of 18 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 61.1%, and had 9 rebounds. He had 30 points in his 28 minutes on the court and had 1 assist in the game.

San Francisco has a mark of 14-10 on the campaign. The Dons are committing 17.4 personal fouls per game and they hit 69.9% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.5 times per game (161st in college hoops) and they turn it over 11.3 times per game. San Francisco has scored 1,817 pts for the year (75.7 per game) and they pull in 37.8 boards per game. As an offense, the Dons are shooting 44.6% from the field, which ranks 226th in the nation.

The Dons defensively are ranked 110th in college in points allowed per game with 71.0. They are forcing their opponents into 9.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.8% from the field (125th in the country). The San Francisco defense allows 32.3% on shots from 3-point land (164 of 508) and opponents are knocking down 72.3% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 12.9 assists and 32.7 total rebounds per game, ranking them 138th and 74th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Loyola Marymount

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