Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ESPN+

The Virginia Cavaliers (23-3) will try to beat the Miami Hurricanes (21-5) at John Paul Jones Arena on Saturday.

The Miami Hurricanes took the court against Virginia Tech and earned the victory with a final of 67-66 in their last contest. Miami wrapped up the contest with a 44.3% FG percentage (27 of 61) and knocked down 4 out of their 16 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Hurricanes buried 9 of 13 attempts for a percentage of 69.2%. In reference to rebounding, they earned 31 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 7 assists in the matchup while forcing 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In regard to defense, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 28 of 56 shooting. Virginia Tech doled out 20 dimes and had 5 steals for this game. Furthermore, Virginia Tech snagged 30 boards (7 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't have a block. Virginia Tech went 66.7% at the free throw line by making 2 of 3 attempts. They also knocked down 8 of 20 tries from 3-point range. When discussing personal fouls, the Hurricanes ended up with 11 while Virginia Tech finished the game with 13 personal fouls.

Tre Donaldson is a player who was a major factor in the matchup. He finished the game shooting 54.2% from the floor and also dished out 2 dimes. He played for 36 mins and pulled down 2 rebounds. He was able to score 32 points on 13 of 24 shooting.

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Miami heads into this contest with a record of 21-5 for the campaign. They are turning it over 11.3 times per game and as a team are committing 15.7 fouls per contest. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 38.5 rebounds per game and has racked up 426 dimes for the season, which ranks 67th in the country in terms of passing. The Hurricanes are hitting 33.1% on shots from beyond the arc (164 of 496) and 67.2% from the free throw line. They are averaging 82.9 points per contest (48th in D-1) while hitting 50.5% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Hurricanes are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game and they draw 18.4 fouls. They surrender 35.3% on three-point shots while they are 81st in Division 1 in points per game from their opponents (69.9). The Hurricanes defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.3% (652 of 1,507) and they relinquish 30.0 rebounds per game as a team. They are ranked 166th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 352 relinquished on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Virginia Cavaliers walked away with a victory by a final of 94-68 when they faced Georgia Tech. The Cavaliers were able to pull down 29 defensive boards and 20 offensive boards for a total of 49 for this game. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while getting 12 steals in this matchup. Georgia Tech was called for 15 personal fouls for the contest which got the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for 13 tries. They were able to knock down 8 of them for a clip of 61.5%. In terms of 3-pointers, Virginia knocked down 14 of their 37 tries (37.8%). When the game finished, the Cavaliers ended up going 36 for 79 from the floor which had them at 45.6%. The Cavaliers allowed Georgia Tech to make 24 of 64 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 37.5% for this contest. They wrapped up this game 21.1% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 4 of 19 and finished the contest at 16 of 19 at the free throw line (84.2%). When talking about how they cleaned up the glass, Virginia permitted Georgia Tech to grab 29 overall (7 offensive).

Thijs De Ridder ended up having an impact for the Cavaliers for the matchup. He knocked down 9 out of 13 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 69.2%, and added 5 rebounds. He racked up 22 points in his 22 minutes on the court, but finished this game without an assist.

Virginia has a mark of 23-3 on the season. The Cavaliers have committed 18.2 fouls per game while shooting 69.9% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 16.9 times per game (41st in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.9 times per contest. Virginia has totaled 2,129 points so far this season (81.9 per game) and they collect 42.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Cavaliers are connecting on 46.2% from the field, which ranks 132nd in college hoops.

The Virginia defense surrenders 29.5% on 3-pointers (164 of 556) and their opponents are making 72.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 11.3 dimes and 32.5 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 34th and 67th in college hoops. The Cavaliers on the defensive side of the court are 32nd in D-1 in points allowed per game with 67.4. They have forced 11.1 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.4% from the field (13th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Virginia

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