Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 3/13/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Friday, March 13, 2026

Location: Spectrum Center in Charlotte, NC

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+5)

The Virginia Cavaliers (27-4) will try to beat the Miami Hurricanes (24-7) at Spectrum Center on Friday in the ACC Semifinals. Virginia opens this contest as 5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 144.

The Miami Hurricanes stepped onto the hardwood against Louisville and ended up losing by a score of 92-89 in their last game. Concerning fouls, the Hurricanes finished with 18 while Louisville accounted for 19 fouls. They converted 12 of 24 shots from beyond the perimeter. Louisville finished the contest at 66.7% at the charity stripe by burying 14 of their 21 attempts. On top of that, Louisville totaled 19 rebounds (5 offensive, 14 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Louisville recorded 22 dimes and had 4 steals in this matchup. In reference to defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 60.4% from the floor on 32 out of 53 shooting. They also recorded 22 assists in this contest as well as forcing 6 turnovers and earning 5 steals. In terms of hauling in boards, they earned a total of 25 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Hurricanes made 19 of 23 shots for a percentage of 82.6%. Miami finished the game with a 56.4% FG percentage (31 out of 55) and made 8 out of their 19 three-point shots.

Tre Donaldson is a player who was a factor in this contest. He went 68.8% from the field and distributed 6 dimes. He played 36 minutes but finished the game without grabbing a rebound. He was able to score 25 points on 11 of 16 shooting.

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Miami will enter this contest with a mark of 24-7 for the year. They are losing possession via turnover 11.5 times per game and as a group are committing 15.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Miami is collecting 37.8 rebounds per game and has accounted for 514 assists on the campaign, which is 61st in D-1 in terms of passing. The Hurricanes are shooting 35.1% on 3-pointers (208 of 592) and 68.1% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 82.7 points per contest (44th in D-1) while hitting 50.6% from the field.

On defense, the Hurricanes are forcing 12.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.1 personal fouls. They give up 35.5% on 3-pointers while they are 94th in college in points per game allowed (70.7). The Hurricanes are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.1% (786 of 1,782) and they concede 29.4 boards per contest as a group. They currently rank 181st in college in giving up assists with 425 surrendered this season.

For their last game, the Virginia Cavaliers walked away with a victory by a final of 76-72 when they played Virginia Tech. When discussing team rebounding, Virginia permitted Virginia Tech to snag 28 in all (11 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 25.0% from downtown by connecting on 8 out of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 12 out of 16 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Cavaliers allowed Virginia Tech to bury 26 out of 62 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.9% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Cavaliers finished shooting 26 out of 58 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.8%. In relation to shooting from beyond the arc, Virginia made 9 out of 25 tries (36.0%). They were able to knock down 15 of them for a clip of 88.2%. Virginia Tech committed 17 personal fouls for this game which got the Cavaliers to the free throw line for 17 shots. They coughed up the ball 12 times, while recording 8 steals in this game. The Cavaliers were able to collect 23 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 34 for this contest.

Malik Thomas ended up having an impact for the Cavaliers in the game. He totaled 16 points in his 24 mins on the court, but didn't get an assist. He knocked down 6 out of 9 in this game for a rate of 66.7%, and had 2 rebounds.

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Virginia has a record of 27-4 this season. The Cavaliers are committing 17.6 fouls per contest and they go 71.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 16.8 times per contest (35th in the country) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.8 times per contest. Virginia has 2,507 points this year (80.9 per game) and they pull in 40.8 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Cavaliers are hitting on 46.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 128th in the nation.

The Cavaliers are ranked 45th in Division 1 in points given up per game with 68.3. They are able to force 10.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 39.7% from the field (14th in D-1). The Virginia defense concedes 30.5% on 3-pointers (210 of 688) and their opponents are converting on 74.7% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 11.8 dimes and 32.7 rebounds per game, which is 57th and 78th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (+5)

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