Michigan Wolverines vs Northwestern Wildcats Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Michigan Wolverines vs Northwestern Wildcats

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, IL

TV: ESPN+

The Northwestern Wildcats (10-14) are hosting the Michigan Wolverines (22-1) at Welsh-Ryan Arena on Wednesday.

The Michigan Wolverines faced off with Ohio State and earned the victory with a final of 82-61 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Wolverines walked away with 17 and Ohio State had 13 fouls. They also converted 7 of 22 attempts from 3-point range. Ohio State finished the game shooting 87.5% at the free throw line by converting 14 of 16 attempts. Additionally, Ohio State snagged 26 rebounds (7 offensive, 19 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Ohio State recorded 12 assists and had 4 steals for this game. Pertaining to defending, Michigan allowed 36.4% from the floor on 20 of 55 shooting. They also recorded 20 assists in this matchup while forcing 12 turnovers and getting 2 steals. Concerning rebounding, they collected 42 with 16 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Wolverines knocked down 6 of their 7 tries for a percentage of 85.7%. Michigan ended the contest having earned a 45.8% FG percentage (33 out of 72) and converted 10 of 24 3-point shots.

Aday Mara is someone who played a role for this contest. He finished with 24 points on 11 of 16 shooting. He played for 26 mins and also pulled down 6 rebounds. He finished 68.8% from the floor and recorded 3 assists.

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Michigan comes into this contest with a record of 22-1 for the season. They are turning it over 12.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 16.4 fouls every game. As a team, Michigan is grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game and has earned 445 dimes so far this season, which ranks 15th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Wolverines are connecting on 35.8% on shots from downtown (216 of 604) and 73.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 91.0 points per game (6th in the country) while connecting on 51.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Wolverines are forcing 12.4 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.7 fouls. They are conceding 29.3% from 3-point land while they are 57th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (68.6). The Wolverines are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 36.9% (546 of 1,480) and they surrender 31.9 boards per game as a group. They are currently ranked 4th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 236 conceded so far this season.

For their last game, the Northwestern Wildcats took a loss by a final score of 76-70 against Iowa. The Wildcats pulled down 17 defensive rebounds and 2 offensive rebounds totaling 19 in this game. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while getting 2 steals in this game. Iowa committed 16 fouls in the matchup which got the Wildcats to the charity stripe for a total of 22 tries. They were able to convert 20 of the free throw tries for a clip of 90.9%. With regard to shots from downtown, Northwestern knocked down 8 of their 14 attempts (57.1%). Overall, the Wildcats shot 21 for 45 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 46.7%. The Wildcats permitted Iowa to bury 24 out of their 53 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.3% in this contest. They finished shooting 31.3% from beyond the perimeter by going 5 of 16 and ended up going 23 of 29 at the free throw line (79.3%). In regard to rebounding, Northwestern permitted Iowa to snag 29 in all (9 on the offensive side).

Nick Martinelli ended up having an impact for the Wildcats in the matchup. He accumulated 21 points in his 37 mins of playing time, but finished this game without an assist. He converted 6 out of 19 for this game giving him a rate of 31.6%, and had 4 rebounds.

Northwestern has a record of 10-14 for the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Wildcats are hitting on 46.0% from the floor, which ranks 141st in the nation. Northwestern has scored 1,800 points this year (75.0 per game) and they pull in 32.2 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 17.4 times per contest (33rd in college hoops) and they are turning it over 8.3 times per contest. The Wildcats commit 17.8 fouls per contest while shooting 74.8% from the free throw line.

The Wildcats defensively are ranked 151st in D-1 in points allowed per contest with 72.6. They are able to force 10.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (146th in D-1). The Northwestern defense surrenders 32.3% on 3-pointers (177 of 548) and opponents are converting on 73.1% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 15.1 dimes and 35.5 boards per game, which ranks them 301st and 242nd in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michigan

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