Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Auburn Tigers

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN

TV: SEC Network

The Auburn Tigers (16-15) will try to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-18) at Bridgestone Arena on Wednesday in the SEC Tournament.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs stepped onto the hardwood against Georgia and took a loss by a score of 102-96 in their last contest. Mississippi State ended the contest having earned a 58.5% FG percentage (38 of 65) and made 9 out of their 23 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs buried 11 of 13 shots for a percentage of 84.6%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 31 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 16 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In regard to the defense, Mississippi State let their opponent shoot 50.0% from the field on 31 out of 62 shooting. Georgia earned 19 assists and had 11 steals in this matchup. Furthermore, Georgia grabbed 29 rebounds (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Georgia went 88.5% from the charity stripe by converting 23 of their 26 shots. They also converted 17 of their 29 tries from beyond the perimeter. In the matter of fouls, the Bulldogs finished with 15 and Georgia recorded 13 fouls.

Josh Hubbard is one player who was a major factor in this game. He finished the game at 59.3% from the field and recorded 4 assists. He played 34 mins and also pulled down 5 rebounds. He walked away with 42 points on 16 of 27 shooting.

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Mississippi State heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 13-18 this season. They turn it over 11.6 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.1 fouls every game. As a unit, Mississippi State is pulling down 38.2 boards per game and has earned 400 dimes for the season, which is 272nd in D-1 in terms of passing. The Bulldogs are shooting 32.6% on shots from distance (256 of 786) and 66.8% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 78.2 points per outing (123rd in Division 1) while hitting 45.2% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Bulldogs are able to force 9.3 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 16.7 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 282nd in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 463 relinquished so far this season. The Bulldogs are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.3% (891 of 2,010) and they concede 38.5 rebounds per contest as a team. They give up 33.8% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 347th in college hoops in points per game allowed (81.9).

In their last game, the Auburn Tigers walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 96-84 against Alabama. When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Auburn allowed Alabama to collect 38 in all (18 on the offensive side). They shot 25.9% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 out of 27 and ended up going 17 out of 26 at the free throw line (65.4%). The Tigers permitted Alabama to convert 36 out of their 69 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 52.2% in this contest. When the game finished, the Tigers ended up going 30 out of 59 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.8%. With regard to shots from downtown, Auburn converted 8 of 23 attempts (34.8%). They were able to bury 16 of them for a percentage of 84.2%. Alabama was called for 18 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 19 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 13 times, while getting 5 steals in the game. The Tigers snagged 18 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 25 for the game.

Kevin Overton ended up having an impact for the Tigers for the contest. He converted 9 out of 15 for the game for a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and tallied 5 rebounds. He earned 24 points in his 33 mins on the hardwood and added 1 assist for the game.

Auburn has a mark of 16-15 for the season. The Tigers are committing 17.4 personal fouls per contest while shooting 74.9% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 12.8 times per contest (264th in college) and they turn the ball over 10.3 times per game. Auburn has scored 2,589 pts for the campaign (83.5 per contest) and they grab 36.1 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Tigers are connecting on 46.2% from the field, which has them ranked 119th in college.

The Tigers on the defensive side of the court are 335th in Division 1 in points allowed per game with 80.2. They are forcing 11.5 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.6% from the field (309th in college). The Auburn defense concedes 36.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (275 of 745) and opponents are converting on 75.6% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 14.3 assists and 32.7 boards per contest, which ranks 255th and 81st in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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