Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 1/31/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: Mizzou Arena in Columbia, MO

TV: SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-10) are en route to Mizzou Arena on Saturday where they will play the Missouri Tigers (14-7).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs took the court against LSU and walked away with a win by a score of 80-66 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Bulldogs ended up finishing with 17 and LSU finished the game with 15 fouls. They also converted 4 of 20 attempts from beyond the arc. LSU walked away from this one shooting 52.2% from the charity stripe by converting 12 of their 23 attempts. On top of that, LSU collected 18 boards (6 offensive, 12 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. LSU dished out 7 dimes and had 12 steals for this game. When talking about the defense, Mississippi State allowed the other team to shoot 43.1% from the floor on 25 out of 58 shooting. They also distributed 14 dimes in the matchup while forcing 7 turnovers and having 5 steals. With regard to pulling down rebounds, they compiled 39 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Bulldogs converted 14 of their 20 shots for a rate of 70.0%. Mississippi State wrapped up the contest with a 50.9% field goal percentage (28 of 55) and made 10 out of their 21 3-pointers.

Josh Hubbard is a guy who was a contributor in this game. He shot 33.3% from the field and distributed 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 32 minutes played and grabbed 2 rebounds. He recorded 15 points on 4 of 12 shooting.

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Mississippi State comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 11-10 for the year. They currently have an average of 77.8 points per contest (150th in the nation) while hitting 44.3% from the field. The Bulldogs are shooting 30.5% on shots from distance (160 of 525) and 68.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Mississippi State is snagging 40.7 boards per game and has accounted for 261 assists so far this season, which is 288th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They cough up possession 11.7 times per game and as a group they commit 15.9 fouls per contest.

On defense, the Bulldogs are forcing 9.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.5 fouls. They are giving up 29.9% on 3-point attempts while they are 289th in college hoops in points per game allowed (77.9). The Bulldogs defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.6% (581 of 1,364) and they relinquish 37.9 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 179th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 277 surrendered so far this year.

In their last game, the Missouri Tigers took a defeat with a final score of 90-64 when they faced Alabama. When discussing rebounding, Missouri permitted Alabama to pull down 39 in total (8 offensive). They shot 38.5% from beyond the arc by going 15 of 39 and finished the contest at 23 of 26 from the charity stripe (88.5%). The Tigers allowed Alabama to make 26 out of 62 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 41.9% for the contest. When the game finished, the Tigers ended up going 26 out of 66 from the field which had them at 39.4%. When talking about shots from 3-point land, Missouri made 4 of 21 attempts (19.0%). They were able to make 8 of the free throws for a percentage of 34.8%. Alabama was called for 15 personal fouls in this game which took the Tigers to the charity stripe for 23 attempts. They also turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 3 steals for the contest. The Tigers snagged 27 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive boards for a total of 41 for the contest.

T.O. Barrett was important for the Tigers for the matchup. He converted 5 of 10 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and added 2 rebounds. He had 13 points in his 25 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 dimes for the game.

Missouri has a record of 14-7 so far this season. The Tigers commit 18.0 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 66.8% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.6 times per contest (153rd in the country) and they are turning it over 12.7 times per contest. Missouri has 1,685 points on the year (80.2 per contest) and they average 36.7 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Tigers are hitting on 49.6% from the floor, which ranks them 22nd in college.

The Tigers on defense are ranked 192nd in college in PPG allowed with 73.8. They have forced 11.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 41.8% from the field (78th in college). The Missouri defense allows 36.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (203 of 560) and opponents are connecting on 74.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 13.1 assists and 31.8 boards per contest, which ranks them 164th and 46th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Missouri

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