Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, AR

TV: ESPN+

The Missouri Tigers (18-8) are hitting the road to Bud Walton Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Arkansas Razorbacks (19-7).

The Missouri Tigers faced off with Vanderbilt and earned the victory with a final of 81-80 in their last game. In the matter of personal fouls, the Tigers ended up with 20 while Vanderbilt totaled 21 personal fouls. They also knocked down 10 out of their 25 attempts from beyond the arc. Vanderbilt walked away from this one shooting 77.8% at the charity stripe by knocking down 14 of 18 attempts. Furthermore, Vanderbilt pulled down 33 rebounds (14 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Vanderbilt earned 11 assists and had 10 steals in the game. Regarding defending, Missouri allowed the other team to shoot 43.1% from the floor on 28 of 65 shooting. They also doled out 16 assists in this game while forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 29 with 6 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Tigers converted 25 of 32 shots for a percentage of 78.1%. Missouri ended the game having earned a 44.2% field goal percentage (23 out of 52) and made 10 out of their 20 shots from downtown.

Jayden Stone is someone who was a factor for this game. He recorded 19 points on 6 out of 13 shooting. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and also collected 7 rebounds. He finished 46.2% from the field and also dished out 1 assist.

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Missouri enters this matchup with a mark of 18-8 for the year. They are giving up possession 12.4 times per game and as a group they commit 17.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Missouri is pulling in 36.5 boards per game and is sitting with 382 dimes on the season, which is 161st in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Tigers are connecting on 35.4% on shots from beyond the arc (192 of 542) and 67.9% from the free throw line. They average 80.1 pts per contest (98th in the nation) while hitting 49.0% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Tigers are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per game and they draw 19.0 fouls. They currently rank 98th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 331 conceded on the campaign. The Tigers are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.1% (641 of 1,524) and they concede 32.0 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are giving up 36.2% on three-point shots and they are 209th in college hoops in points per game from their opponents (74.5).

The last time they took the court, the Arkansas Razorbacks took a loss by a final score of 117-115 when they played Alabama. The Razorbacks collected 21 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 34 for this game. They also turned it over 7 times, while recording 6 steals in this game. Alabama committed 17 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Razorbacks to the charity stripe for 19 shots. They were able to make 16 of the free throw tries for a rate of 84.2%. In reference to three-point shots, Arkansas buried 13 of 26 attempts (50.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Razorbacks went 43 out of 87 from the floor which had them sitting at 49.4%. The Razorbacks permitted Alabama to convert 40 of their 71 tries from the field which had them sitting at 56.3% for this game. They went 34.5% from downtown by hitting 10 out of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 27 of 34 at the charity stripe (79.4%). Concerning how they attacked the glass, Arkansas permitted Alabama to pull down 40 in all (11 offensive).

Darius Acuff Jr. ended up being important for the Razorbacks for this contest. He recorded 49 points in his 50 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 5 assists for the game. He made 16 of 27 in the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 59.3%, and accounted for 5 rebounds.

Arkansas has a record of 19-7 so far this year. On the offensive side of the court, the Razorbacks are shooting 50.4% from the floor, which ranks them 15th in college. Arkansas has scored 2,334 points on the season (89.8 per game) and they average 36.1 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 17.2 times per game (32nd in college) and they turn it over 9.1 times per game. The Razorbacks are committing 16.7 fouls every game and they hit 74.2% from the charity stripe.

The Razorbacks on defense are ranked 290th in Division 1 in PPG allowed with 78.0. They are able to force 11.8 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.1% from the field (185th in college hoops). The Arkansas defense surrenders 31.1% from downtown (206 of 663) and opponents are connecting on 71.0% of their foul shots. They give up 14.3 assists and 34.8 total rebounds per game, which ranks them 258th and 209th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arkansas

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