Missouri Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes Prediction, 3/20/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Missouri Tigers vs Miami Hurricanes

Date: Friday, March 20, 2026

Location: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Miami (-2)

The Miami Hurricanes (25-8) welcome the Missouri Tigers (20-12) at Enterprise Center on Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Missouri opens this matchup as 2-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 147.5.

The Missouri Tigers faced Kentucky and ended up losing by a score of 78-72 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Tigers walked away with 20 and Kentucky recorded 21 personal fouls. They buried 6 out of their 21 tries from beyond the arc. Kentucky shot 78.3% from the free throw line by burying 18 of their 23 shots. On top of that, Kentucky pulled down 24 boards (5 offensive, 19 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Kentucky earned 18 dimes and had 9 steals for the contest. In relation to defense, Missouri allowed their opponent to shoot 49.1% from the field on 27 out of 55 shooting. They also recorded 10 assists for this game while forcing 9 turnovers and earning 7 steals. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 34 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Tigers converted 15 of 23 shots for a rate of 65.2%. Missouri ended with a 47.3% FG percentage (26 of 55) and converted 5 of their 13 3-point shots.

Mark Mitchell is someone who was a major factor for the matchup. He finished the game shooting 61.9% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist. He was on the court for 39 mins played and grabbed 7 rebounds. He recorded 32 points on 13 of 21 shooting.

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Missouri will play this game with a win-loss mark of 20-12 for the season. They have an average of 79.7 pts per contest (89th in college hoops) while hitting 49.0% from the field. The Tigers are connecting on 35.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (230 of 657) and 68.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Missouri is grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 452 dimes on the season, which is 173rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 12.4 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.6 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Tigers are forcing 11.4 turnovers per game while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They rank 152nd in college in allowing assists with 422 relinquished so far this year. The Tigers are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.6% (814 of 1,868) and they relinquish 32.0 boards per contest as a squad. They are surrendering 36.5% on 3-point attempts while they are 227th in D-1 in PPG allowed (75.3).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Miami Hurricanes took a loss by a final score of 84-62 when they faced Virginia. With respect to how they rebounded, Miami allowed Virginia to get 35 in all (11 offensive). They finished 42.3% from 3-point land by shooting 11 out of 26 and ended up shooting 11 out of 12 at the charity stripe (91.7%). The Hurricanes permitted Virginia to knock down 31 of 59 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 52.5% for the contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Hurricanes ended up going 22 out of 57 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.6%. When it comes to shooting from downtown, Miami converted 4 of their 20 attempts (20.0%). They were able to make 14 of those for a rate of 93.3%. Virginia committed 15 fouls for the game which took the Hurricanes to the free throw line for a total of 15 tries. They also coughed it up 7 times, while getting 6 steals for the game. The Hurricanes were able to snag 14 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 21 for the contest.

Tru Washington ended up being a factor for the Hurricanes in the game. He scored 13 points in his 28 mins on the court, but left the arena with no assists. He converted 5 out of 13 in this matchup giving him a rate of 38.5%, and accounted for 1 rebound.

Miami has a win-loss record of 25-8 for the year. As an offense, the Hurricanes are hitting on 50.1% from the field, which has them ranked 12th in the country. Miami has 2,704 points for the campaign (81.9 per game) and they collect 37.3 boards per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 16.1 times per game (59th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 11.2 times per game. The Hurricanes are committing 15.5 fouls every game while shooting 68.5% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense gives up 35.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (275 of 776) and opponents are converting on 69.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 13.9 assists and 29.8 boards per game, which is ranked 223rd and 11th in Division 1. The Hurricanes on the defensive side of the court are 107th in the nation in PPG given up with 71.2. They are able to force 12.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 44.5% from the field (202nd in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami (-2)

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