MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 1/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, NM

TV: ESPNU

Pan American Center is the location where the New Mexico State Aggies (8-5) will take on the MTSU Blue Raiders (9-5) on Saturday.

The MTSU Blue Raiders faced off with Sam Houston State and took home the win by a score of 68-67 in their last game. In reference to fouls, the Blue Raiders finished with 11 while Sam Houston State recorded 13 fouls. They knocked down 5 out of their 11 shots from distance. Sam Houston State ended up going 66.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 8 of their 12 attempts. Additionally, Sam Houston State totaled 38 rebounds (9 offensive, 29 defensive), but didn't have a block. Sam Houston State totaled 14 assists and had 7 steals for the matchup. Concerning defending, MTSU allowed their opponent to shoot 48.2% from the field on 27 out of 56 shooting. They also dished out 10 assists for the matchup while forcing 16 turnovers and having 11 steals. With respect to rebounding, they collected 28 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Blue Raiders made 9 of 10 shots for a rate of 90.0%. MTSU ended the contest having earned a 38.7% field goal percentage (24 of 62) and converted 11 of their 29 3-pointers.

Jahvin Carter is one player who came through in the matchup. He went 55.6% from the field and recorded 4 assists. He played for 33 mins and also collected 4 rebounds. He racked up 16 points on 5 out of 9 shooting.

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MTSU heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 9-5 for the year. They turn the ball over 11.3 times per contest and as a group are committing 17.1 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, MTSU is snagging 37.1 boards per contest and is sitting with 202 dimes this year, which has them ranked 271st in the country in terms of passing. The Blue Raiders are hitting 35.3% on shots from downtown (144 of 408) and 69.1% from the charity stripe. They average 76.7 points per contest (198th in the nation) while hitting 44.4% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Blue Raiders are able to force 12.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 14.4 fouls. They are conceding 27.9% on three-point shots and they are 90th in the country in PPG allowed (69.4). The Blue Raiders defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 42.7% (350 of 820) and they surrender 36.0 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 32nd in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 164 surrendered so far this season.

When they last played, the New Mexico State Aggies took a loss by a score of 89-82 when they faced Missouri State. In relation to rebounds, New Mexico State allowed Missouri State to grab 27 in total (10 offensive). They finished 47.6% from distance by connecting on 10 out of 21 and walked away from this one shooting 29 out of 39 at the free throw line (74.4%). The Aggies allowed Missouri State to bury 25 of their 54 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.3% for this game. When all was said and done, the Aggies walked away from this one shooting 28 out of 61 from the field which had them at 45.9%. Regarding shooting from distance, New Mexico State buried 7 out of 18 attempts (38.9%). They were able to bury 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 82.6%. Missouri State committed 17 personal fouls for this contest which took the Aggies to the free throw line for a total of 23 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 6 steals in the game. The Aggies were able to corral 22 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 32 for the contest.

Julius Mims was important for the Aggies for this contest. He converted 9 out of 13 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 69.2%, and accumulated 14 rebounds. He accumulated 22 points in his 30 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to notch an assist.

New Mexico State has a record of 8-5 so far this season. On the offensive side of the court, the Aggies are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which ranks them 225th in D-1. New Mexico State has accumulated 1,009 pts this year (77.6 per contest) and they pull in 37.5 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 13.8 times per contest (223rd in college) and they turn it over 11.8 times per game. The Aggies have committed 21.3 personal fouls every game while shooting 72.4% from the charity stripe.

The New Mexico State defense allows 30.0% on 3-point attempts (94 of 313) and opponents are converting on 75.1% of their foul shots. They have given up 10.5 dimes and 33.5 rebounds per game, which is ranked 21st and 125th in college. The Aggies are ranked 80th in the country in points given up per game with 69.2. They are able to force 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 39.1% from the field (28th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take MTSU

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