Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah State Aggies Prediction, 3/13/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Nevada Wolf Pack vs Utah State Aggies

Date: Friday, March 13, 2026

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: CBSSN

Odds/Point Spread: Utah State (-7)

Thomas & Mack Center is the site where the Utah State Aggies (25-6) will take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (21-11) on Friday in the Mountain West Semifinals. Nevada opens this game as 7-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 145.5.

The Nevada Wolf Pack faced Air Force and took home the win by a score of 80-45 in their last contest. Nevada ended having earned a 45.6% field goal percentage (26 of 57) and made 5 of 20 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Wolf Pack buried 23 of their 30 tries for a percentage of 76.7%. With regard to rebounding, they earned 40 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 17 assists for the contest while creating 17 turnovers and getting 11 steals. When discussing defense, Nevada allowed the other team to shoot 28.1% from the field on 16 out of 57 shooting. Air Force doled out 7 dimes and had 9 steals in this contest. In addition, Air Force collected 24 rebounds (6 offensive, 18 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Air Force walked away from this one shooting 100.0% from the charity stripe by converting 11 of 11 shots. They also made 2 of their 22 tries from beyond the perimeter. When it comes to fouls, the Wolf Pack walked away with 17 while Air Force finished the game with 21 fouls.

Corey Camper Jr. is one player who was a contributor in the matchup. He finished the game shooting 42.9% from the floor and also dished out 2 assists. He played for 23 mins and also snagged 5 rebounds. He notched 11 points on 3 of 7 shooting.

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Nevada heads into this game with a win-loss mark of 21-11 on the year. They are averaging 76.0 pts per contest (173rd in the nation) while connecting on 43.8% from the field. The Wolf Pack are shooting 36.5% on shots from downtown (216 of 592) and 75.2% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Nevada is grabbing 36.2 boards per game and has accounted for 457 dimes so far this season, which ranks 146th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 9.9 times per contest and as a group they are committing 17.9 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Wolf Pack are able to force 11.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 20.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 186th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 428 conceded so far this season. The Wolf Pack are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.7% (769 of 1,761) and they surrender 33.2 boards per game as a group. They are relinquishing 34.2% from beyond the arc and they rank 104th in college hoops in PPG allowed (71.1).

The last time they took the court, the Utah State Aggies got the victory with a final of 94-90 against New Mexico. Regarding rebounding, Utah State permitted New Mexico to pull down 28 in all (10 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 44.8% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 13 out of 29 and ended up shooting 19 out of 26 from the free throw line (73.1%). The Aggies allowed New Mexico to convert 29 of 61 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 47.5% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Aggies went 27 for 54 from the field which had them sitting at 50.0%. In the matter of shots from beyond the arc, Utah State buried 10 of 27 tries (37.0%). They were able to convert 30 of the free throws for a clip of 83.3%. New Mexico committed 24 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Aggies to the free throw line for a total of 36 shots. They turned the ball over 10 times, while getting 5 steals for the game. The Aggies collected 19 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 for the matchup.

MJ Collins was important for the Aggies in this game. He converted 7 out of 14 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and accumulated 6 rebounds. He accumulated 27 points in his 29 mins of playing time and added 1 assist in the game.

Utah State has a win-loss mark of 25-6 so far this year. As an offense, the Aggies are shooting 50.1% from the field, which ranks them 15th in the country. Utah State has accounted for 2,574 pts so far this year (83.0 per game) and they average 34.5 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 17.7 times per contest (18th in Division 1) and they cough up possession 10.6 times per game. The Aggies commit 18.9 fouls every game while shooting 70.9% from the charity stripe.

The Utah State defense allows 34.0% on 3-point attempts (241 of 709) and their opponents are connecting on 73.8% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 11.7 assists and 32.5 rebounds per game, which is ranked 54th and 70th in those categories. The Aggies on the defensive end are ranked 105th in college hoops in points given up per game with 71.1. They are forcing 14.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the floor (87th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Utah State (-7)

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