New Mexico Lobos vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 1/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO

TV: ESPN+

Clune Arena is where the Air Force Falcons (3-12) will try to beat the New Mexico Lobos (12-3) on Saturday.

The New Mexico Lobos played Colorado State and earned the victory with a final of 80-70 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Lobos ended up finishing with 14 and Colorado State accounted for 16 fouls. They also converted 7 out of their 25 tries from beyond the arc. Colorado State finished shooting 81.8% at the free throw line by burying 9 of their 11 tries. In addition, Colorado State collected 29 boards (11 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Colorado State earned 15 dimes and had 3 steals in the game. Concerning the defense, New Mexico allowed the other team to shoot 45.8% from the floor on 27 of 59 shooting. They also recorded 14 assists in this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In terms of pulling down rebounds, they collected a total of 30 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Lobos buried 13 of their 21 tries for a rate of 61.9%. New Mexico wrapped up the game with a 52.8% field goal percentage (28 out of 53) and converted 11 of their 25 shots from downtown.

Jake Hall is one guy who came through for the game. He finished the contest at 60.0% from the floor and totaled 2 assists. He played 29 mins played and also totaled 2 boards. He finished with 18 points on 6 out of 10 shooting.

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New Mexico enters this one with a win-loss record of 12-3 so far this year. They are turning it over 11.1 times per game and as a team they commit 17.3 fouls every game. As a unit, New Mexico is grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game and has accounted for 216 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 207th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Lobos are shooting 33.2% on shots from distance (138 of 416) and 75.6% from the free throw line. They average 79.7 pts per game (130th in Division 1) while hitting 45.3% from the floor.

On defense, the Lobos are able to force 14.3 turnovers every game while drawing 19.5 personal fouls. They are giving up 28.9% from beyond the arc while they are 56th in college hoops in PPG allowed (67.5). The Lobos defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 39.9% (347 of 870) and they concede 34.9 boards per contest as a unit. They currently rank 71st in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 180 conceded on the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Air Force Falcons took a loss by a final score of 99-62 when they played Utah State. The Falcons recorded 16 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive boards totaling 20 for the matchup. They turned it over 12 times, while recording 3 steals for the game. Utah State was called for 16 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Falcons to the charity stripe for 19 tries. They were able to make 14 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 73.7%. In the matter of shooting from 3-point land, Air Force made 6 of their 20 tries (30.0%). When all was said and done, the Falcons ended up going 21 out of 51 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.2%. The Falcons permitted Utah State to bury 38 of their 65 tries from the floor which had them at 58.5% for the matchup. They finished 46.2% from 3-point land by shooting 12 out of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 11 of 17 at the free throw line (64.7%). In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Air Force allowed Utah State to get 36 overall (13 offensive).

Caleb Walker ended up being a major contributor for the Falcons in this game. He converted 4 of 4 in this game for a field goal rate of 100.0%, and had 6 rebounds. He earned 12 points in his 26 minutes on the court and had 1 assist in this matchup.

Air Force has a mark of 3-12 so far this year. When it comes to offense, the Falcons are connecting on 43.4% from the field, which has them ranked 279th in the nation. Air Force has 943 points on the season (62.9 per contest) and they average 30.6 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 11.9 times per contest (323rd in college) and they are turning it over 14.4 times per game. The Falcons are responsible for committing 17.4 fouls every game and they connect on 63.6% from the charity stripe.

The Air Force defense surrenders 34.4% on 3-point attempts (110 of 320) and their opponents are converting on 71.3% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 14.7 assists and 35.7 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 268th and 249th in those defensive categories. The Falcons on defense are ranked 222nd in the country in PPG given up with 74.9. They have forced 11.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.5% from the floor (308th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Air Force

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