North Dakota State Bison vs St. Thomas Tommies Prediction, 2/26/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: North Dakota State Bison vs St. Thomas Tommies

Date: Thursday, February 26, 2026

Location: Lee & Penny Anderson Arena in Saint Paul, MN

TV: ESPN+

Lee & Penny Anderson Arena is the location where the St. Thomas Tommies (21-8) will play the North Dakota State Bison (23-6) on Thursday.

The North Dakota State Bison faced off with UMKC and went home with a win by a final score of 95-59 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Bison ended up with 11 while UMKC had 6 fouls. They also converted 7 out of their 31 tries from distance. UMKC ended up going 37.5% when shooting free throws by making 6 of 16 tries. In addition, UMKC snagged 25 rebounds (5 offensive, 20 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. UMKC recorded 12 dimes and had 8 steals in this contest. When discussing defense, North Dakota State allowed their opponent to shoot 37.1% from the field on 23 of 62 shooting. They also doled out 28 dimes in this matchup in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. When talking about grabbing boards, they collected a total of 50 with 15 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Bison made 4 of 6 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. North Dakota State ended the contest having earned a 49.3% FG percentage (37 out of 75) and knocked down 17 of 39 3-point shots.

Treyson Anderson is one guy who was a factor for the matchup. He recorded 20 points on 7 of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 20 mins and also snagged 11 rebounds. He finished the contest at 58.3% from the field and earned 2 assists.

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North Dakota State comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 23-6 for the season. They have an average of 81.6 points per game (63rd in D-1) while going 47.3% from the floor. The Bison are hitting 36.6% on three-point attempts (272 of 744) and 73.2% from the charity stripe. As a team, North Dakota State is pulling down 36.2 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 452 assists for the campaign, which is 59th in the country in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 10.9 times per contest and as a team they are committing 14.7 fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Bison have forced 14.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.8 personal fouls. They relinquish 34.3% from beyond the arc and they rank 87th in Division 1 in opponents points per game (70.4). The Bison defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 44.6% (736 of 1,649) and they concede 31.5 boards per contest as a team. They are ranked 232nd in Division 1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 388 surrendered on the campaign.

For their last game, the St. Thomas Tommies went home defeated by a final of 82-80 when they faced Denver. Concerning cleaning the glass, St. Thomas permitted Denver to get 26 overall (6 on the offensive glass). They shot 37.9% from three-point range by hitting 11 out of 29 and ended up going 17 of 20 at the free throw line (85.0%). The Tommies allowed Denver to convert 27 of their 57 tries from the field which had them shooting 47.4% in this matchup. When the game finished, the Tommies finished the game shooting 32 for 58 from the field which gave them a percentage of 55.2%. In the matter of shooting from distance, St. Thomas converted 8 out of 22 attempts (36.4%). They were able to knock down 8 of them for a rate of 40.0%. Denver had 21 fouls in the game which got the Tommies to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They gave up possession 9 times, while earning 3 steals in the game. The Tommies were able to corral 23 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive boards totaling 31 in this matchup.

Nick Janowski ended up being a major contributor for the Tommies for the contest. He racked up 19 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and added 1 assist for the game. He converted 9 out of 19 for the matchup giving him a rate of 47.4%, and earned 6 rebounds.

St. Thomas has a win-loss mark of 21-8 for the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Tommies are hitting on 51.4% from the field, which is 7th in D-1. St. Thomas has 2,430 pts so far this season (83.8 per contest) and they grab 33.1 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 17.0 times per game (37th in the country) and they are turning it over 9.6 times per game. The Tommies are committing 15.7 fouls per contest and they shoot 68.1% from the free throw line.

The Tommies on the defensive end are ranked 152nd in college in points per game surrendered with 73.0. They are forcing 12.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.8% from the field (170th in D-1). The St. Thomas defense allows 31.4% on shots from 3-point land (226 of 719) and their opponents are connecting on 74.8% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 14.2 dimes and 34.1 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 247th and 161st in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Thomas

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