Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oregon Ducks vs USC Trojans

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Galen Center in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN+

The USC Trojans (18-8) will go up against the Oregon Ducks (9-17) at Galen Center on Saturday.

The Oregon Ducks took the court against Minnesota and ended up losing by a score of 61-44 in their last game. Oregon ended the contest having earned a 37.7% FG percentage (20 out of 53) and converted 2 of their 20 three-point shots. At the free throw line, the Ducks made 2 of 2 tries for a rate of 100.0%. Concerning pulling down boards, they compiled 26 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 14 dimes in this matchup in addition to creating 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. Pertaining to defending, Oregon let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the field on 22 out of 55 shooting. Minnesota totaled 16 assists and had 7 steals in this contest. Furthermore, Minnesota had 33 rebounds (12 offensive, 21 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Minnesota walked away from this one shooting 80.0% from the charity stripe by burying 8 of their 10 shots. They also made 9 of their 29 attempts from distance. In regard to personal fouls, the Ducks walked away with 10 and Minnesota totaled 9 personal fouls.

Nathan Bittle is someone who was a major contributor in this matchup. He accounted for 15 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He played 35 mins and also pulled down 7 boards. He finished shooting 46.7% from the floor and distributed 4 dimes.

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Oregon enters this matchup with a record of 9-17 on the year. They turn the ball over 12.1 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Oregon is collecting 34.7 boards per contest and has racked up 366 dimes for the year, which ranks 203rd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Ducks are shooting 32.2% on shots from downtown (210 of 652) and 71.9% from the free throw line. They have an average of 71.2 points per contest (291st in the country) while hitting 42.6% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Ducks are able to force 10.6 turnovers per game and they draw 17.1 personal fouls. They surrender 34.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 202nd in D-1 in PPG allowed (74.3). The Ducks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.7% (668 of 1,495) and they concede 33.8 boards per contest as a squad. They are ranked 155th in the nation in giving up assists with 348 surrendered on the year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the USC Trojans took a loss by a score of 101-65 when they faced Illinois. When discussing cleaning the glass, USC allowed Illinois to collect 35 overall (11 offensive). They finished 44.8% from three-point range by going 13 out of 29 and ended up shooting 24 of 26 from the charity stripe (92.3%). The Trojans allowed Illinois to convert 32 of 62 tries from the field which had them sitting at 51.6% in the matchup. Overall, the Trojans finished the game shooting 23 out of 62 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 37.1%. When talking about shots from beyond the perimeter, USC converted 7 of their 18 attempts (38.9%). They were able to knock down 12 of those for a rate of 60.0%. Illinois earned 19 fouls in this matchup which got the Trojans to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 5 steals for the contest. The Trojans earned 17 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards for a total of 30 in this contest.

Ezra Ausar was important for the Trojans for the matchup. He accumulated 15 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 2 assists for this contest. He made 6 out of 9 in this game for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and added 11 rebounds.

USC has a win-loss record of 18-8 for the campaign. The Trojans are committing 19.1 personal fouls per game and they shoot 71.6% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 15.3 times per game (101st in Division 1) and they lose possession via turnover 12.7 times per contest. USC has tallied 2,097 points for the season (80.7 per contest) and they pull in 37.0 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Trojans are hitting on 46.5% from the floor, which has them ranked 113th in the nation.

The USC defense allows 31.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (209 of 673) and opponents are connecting on 77.5% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 14.3 assists and 33.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 258th and 124th in those categories. The Trojans on the defensive end are ranked 256th in Division 1 in PPG given up with 76.8. They have forced 12.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 42.5% from the field (90th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take USC

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