Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Sacramento State Hornets vs Montana State Bobcats

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Worthington Arena in Bozeman, MT

TV: ESPN+

The Montana State Bobcats (16-13) will play the Sacramento State Hornets (9-19) at Worthington Arena on Saturday.

The Sacramento State Hornets faced off with Montana and took a loss by a score of 81-73 in their last game. Sacramento State ended the game with a 40.3% field goal percentage (27 of 67) and buried 5 of their 20 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Hornets converted 14 of 18 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. In relation to pulling down boards, they earned 32 with 9 of them being offensive. They also distributed 11 assists in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and getting 9 steals. Concerning defense, Sacramento State allowed 50.9% from the field on 27 out of 53 shooting. Montana recorded 18 assists and had 6 steals for the game. Moreover, Montana grabbed 33 rebounds (3 offensive, 30 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Montana finished 80.0% from the free throw line by making 16 of their 20 shots. They converted 11 of 29 shots from distance. Regarding personal fouls, the Hornets finished with 17 while Montana accumulated 16 personal fouls.

Prophet Johnson is someone who had an impact for this contest. He ended up with 14 points on 6 of 17 shooting. He was on the court for 37 minutes and also snagged 7 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 35.3% from the floor and also dished out 6 dimes.

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Sacramento State enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 9-19 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 10.8 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Sacramento State is grabbing 34.8 rebounds per game and has tallied 367 dimes on the campaign, which is 263rd in college hoops in terms of passing. The Hornets are hitting 33.4% on three-point attempts (213 of 637) and 78.1% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 79.3 pts per contest (106th in the nation) while hitting 42.5% from the field.

On defense, the Hornets are forcing 12.4 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 34.9% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 352nd in D-1 in points per game allowed (83.1). The Hornets defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 46.3% (808 of 1,744) and they surrender 39.4 rebounds per contest as a unit. They rank 347th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 481 surrendered on the campaign.

In their last game, the Montana State Bobcats walked away with a victory by a final of 84-69 when they faced Portland State. In the matter of rebounds, Montana State permitted Portland State to get 29 in all (10 on the offensive glass). They shot 50.0% from three-point range by going 9 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 8 out of 14 from the free throw line (57.1%). The Bobcats permitted Portland State to make 26 out of their 58 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 44.8% for the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Bobcats finished 29 for 56 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.8%. In relation to shots from beyond the perimeter, Montana State knocked down 15 of their 30 tries (50.0%). They were able to bury 11 of the free throws for a percentage of 73.3%. Portland State was called for 16 fouls for the matchup which took the Bobcats to the free throw line for a total of 15 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while getting 10 steals for the game. The Bobcats were able to corral 21 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive boards totaling 24 in the matchup.

Jed Miller pitched in for the Bobcats in the game. He racked up 25 points in his 38 mins of playing time and accumulated 6 dimes in this matchup. He buried 7 of 15 for the game giving him a rate of 46.7%, and earned 9 rebounds.

Montana State has a record of 16-13 this season. As an offensive unit, the Bobcats are shooting 46.4% from the floor, which is ranked 120th in Division 1. Montana State has accounted for 2,261 pts so far this year (78.0 per game) and they grab 32.6 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 11.5 times per game (338th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.1 times per game. The Bobcats are responsible for committing 15.8 personal fouls every game and they go 75.8% from the free throw line.

The Bobcats are ranked 119th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 71.8. They are able to force 11.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.0% from the floor (233rd in D-1). The Montana State defense gives up 33.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (192 of 576) and opponents are knocking down 77.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 11.5 dimes and 33.1 total boards per game, which is 39th and 94th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Montana State

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