San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 1/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Location: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Nevada Wolf Pack (11-3) will compete against the San Diego State Aztecs (9-4) at Lawlor Events Center on Tuesday.

The San Diego State Aztecs faced off with Boise State and went home with a win by a final score of 110-107 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Aztecs finished with 29 while Boise State recorded 23 fouls. They also converted 14 out of their 42 shots from 3-point land. Boise State finished 87.1% from the charity stripe by knocking down 27 of their 31 attempts. Furthermore, Boise State grabbed 41 rebounds (10 offensive, 31 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Boise State earned 18 dimes and had 6 steals for this game. In terms of defending, San Diego State allowed 41.8% from the field on 33 out of 79 shooting. They also doled out 21 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and having 10 steals. In terms of pulling down rebounds, they collected 35 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. From the charity stripe, the Aztecs knocked down 21 of their 32 attempts for a percentage of 65.6%. San Diego State walked away from the game with a 53.4% field goal percentage (39 of 73) and knocked down 11 out of their 24 three-point shots.

BJ Davis is a guy who was a contributor in the game. He accounted for 22 points on 6 out of 15 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 41 mins and also grabbed 11 rebounds. He finished 40.0% from the field and totaled 6 dimes.

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San Diego State will take the court with a win-loss record of 9-4 on the year. They are losing possession via turnover 13.4 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 19.7 fouls every game. As a team, San Diego State is pulling down 36.8 rebounds per game and has earned 221 dimes this year, which ranks 154th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Aztecs are shooting 40.2% from downtown (103 of 256) and 74.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 84.1 points per outing (69th in college hoops) while connecting on 48.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Aztecs are forcing their opponents into 15.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.6 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 33.1% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 220th in college hoops in PPG allowed (74.8). Aztecs defense is giving up a FG percentage of 40.9% (317 of 776) and they relinquish 34.4 rebounds per game as a team. They are currently ranked 92nd in college hoops in giving up assists with 177 surrendered on the season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Nevada Wolf Pack got the victory with a final of 66-65 against Fresno State. The Wolf Pack were able to pull down 19 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 28 for the matchup. They also turned it over 9 times, while getting 9 steals in the game. Fresno State had 16 fouls in this contest which took the Wolf Pack to the free throw line for a total of 18 shots. They were able to knock down 12 of those for a rate of 66.7%. In terms of three-point attempts, Nevada knocked down 6 of their 21 tries (28.6%). When the game finished, the Wolf Pack finished 24 for 56 from the floor which gave them a rate of 42.9%. The Wolf Pack permitted Fresno State to make 24 out of their 54 tries from the field which had them at 44.4% for the contest. They wrapped up this game 42.1% from 3-point land via 8 of 19 and finished the game at 9 out of 11 from the free throw line (81.8%). With respect to how they rebounded, Nevada allowed Fresno State to pull down 32 overall (8 on the offensive glass).

Tyler Rolison was important for the Wolf Pack for the matchup. He made 6 of 11 in this contest giving him a rate of 54.5%, but went home without a rebound. He accumulated 16 points in his 24 minutes on the court and earned 2 dimes in the matchup.

Nevada has a record of 11-3 on the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Wolf Pack are connecting on 43.4% from the floor, which ranks them 283rd in Division 1. Nevada has totaled 1,073 pts this season (76.6 per contest) and they grab 35.9 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 13.9 times per game (213th in college) and they lose possession via turnover 8.9 times per game. The Wolf Pack are committing 18.7 fouls per game and they connect on 74.4% from the charity stripe.

The Nevada defense surrenders 34.0% on shots from beyond the arc (112 of 329) and their opponents are converting on 70.8% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 13.9 assists and 34.6 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks them 228th and 189th in Division 1. The Wolf Pack on defense are ranked 125th in college in points per game surrendered with 71.1. They are forcing 12.4 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the field (171st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take San Diego State

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