TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, TX

TV: FS1

The TCU Horned Frogs (18-10) are hitting the road to United Supermarkets Arena on Tuesday where they will go up against the Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-7).

The TCU Horned Frogs played Kansas State and walked away with a win by a score of 77-68 in their last game. TCU ended with a 42.9% FG percentage (27 out of 63) and made 7 of their 27 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Horned Frogs knocked down 16 of 23 tries for a rate of 69.6%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected 32 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 17 dimes in this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and getting 12 steals. When talking about the defense, TCU allowed the other team to shoot 50.0% from the field on 28 out of 56 shooting. Kansas State totaled 19 assists and had 7 steals in this game. Furthermore, Kansas State pulled down 30 boards (5 offensive, 25 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Kansas State finished shooting 44.4% at the free throw line by knocking down 4 of 9 attempts. They also converted 8 out of their 23 tries from downtown. Regarding personal fouls, the Horned Frogs ended up walking away with 12 and Kansas State finished the game with 18 personal fouls.

Xavier Edmonds is a player who was a major factor for this contest. He ended up shooting 62.5% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes. He saw the court for 33 minutes played and also snagged 13 rebounds. He scored 15 points on 5 out of 8 shooting.

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TCU heads into this one with a record of 18-10 on the campaign. They average 78.3 pts per game (128th in college hoops) on 44.8% from the field. The Horned Frogs are hitting 33.4% on 3-pointers (207 of 620) and 70.7% from the charity stripe. As a team, TCU is pulling down 36.1 boards per game and is sitting with 441 dimes this season, which ranks 99th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 11.2 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Horned Frogs have forced 13.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.4 personal fouls. They are 320th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 448 surrendered so far this year. The Horned Frogs defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.4% (725 of 1,632) and they surrender 33.4 boards per contest as a team. They are conceding 33.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 127th in the country in PPG allowed (72.0).

The last time they took the court, the Texas Tech Red Raiders walked away with a victory by a final of 82-73 when they faced Iowa State. Concerning rebounding, Texas Tech allowed Iowa State to get 26 in total (13 offensive). They finished 33.3% from three-point range by connecting on 8 of 24 and finished the contest at 19 out of 27 at the free throw line (70.4%). The Red Raiders allowed Iowa State to convert 23 out of their 59 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.0% in the game. When the final whistle blew, the Red Raiders ended up going 31 out of 53 from the field which gave them a rate of 58.5%. With respect to shooting from 3-point land, Texas Tech converted 14 of their 29 attempts (48.3%). They were able to make 6 of them for a rate of 54.5%. Iowa State was called for 17 fouls for the matchup which took the Red Raiders to the free throw line for a total of 11 attempts. They also turned the ball over 14 times, while getting 3 steals for the contest. The Red Raiders were able to corral 25 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 34 in this matchup.

Donovan Atwell ended up having an impact for the Red Raiders in this game. He made 6 of 11 in the game giving him a rate of 54.5%, and tallied 1 rebound. He earned 18 points in his 38 mins on the hardwood, but left the arena with no assists.

Texas Tech has a record of 21-7 on the campaign. The Red Raiders have committed 16.2 fouls every game and they shoot 72.0% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 16.1 times per contest (65th in the country) and they are turning it over 10.6 times per game. Texas Tech has scored 2,297 pts for the year (82.0 per game) and they grab 37.8 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Red Raiders are connecting on 46.9% from the floor, which is 87th in the country.

The Red Raiders on defense are ranked 132nd in college in points given up per game with 72.2. They are able to force 10.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 43.7% from the field (158th in D-1). The Texas Tech defense surrenders 31.3% on shots from beyond the arc (184 of 587) and their opponents are connecting on 69.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 10.8 assists and 33.6 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 19th and 139th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take TCU

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