Utah State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV

TV: ESPN+

The Nevada Wolf Pack (17-9) will try to defeat the Utah State Aggies (23-3) at Lawlor Events Center on Saturday.

The Utah State Aggies played Boise State and went home with a win by a final score of 75-56 in their last game. Utah State finished the contest with a 54.7% FG percentage (29 out of 53) and converted 8 out of their 21 three-point shots. From the free throw line, the Aggies converted 9 of their 13 tries for a percentage of 69.2%. Regarding rebounding, they earned 26 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 14 dimes in this contest while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When it comes to the defense, Utah State allowed the other team to shoot 36.8% from the field on 21 out of 57 shooting. Boise State totaled 11 dimes and had 3 steals for this game. Furthermore, Boise State snagged 27 rebounds (10 offensive, 17 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Boise State finished the contest at 77.8% from the charity stripe by making 7 of their 9 attempts. They buried 7 of their 22 shots from distance. When talking about fouls, the Aggies ended up finishing with 11 and Boise State finished the game with 11 fouls.

Mason Falslev is a player who was a contributor in this game. He finished shooting 50.0% from the floor and totaled 1 assist. He played 31 minutes and also pulled down 3 boards. He ended up scoring 17 points on 7 out of 14 shooting.

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Utah State heads into this game with a mark of 23-3 for the year. They have an average of 84.3 pts per contest (28th in the country) while hitting 51.4% from the field. The Aggies are connecting on 36.6% on 3-point shots (226 of 617) and 71.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Utah State is collecting 35.5 boards per game and has 468 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 25th in the country in terms of passing. They cough up possession 10.9 times per game and as a unit are committing 18.6 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Aggies are forcing 14.4 turnovers per game and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They relinquish 32.4% on 3-point shots and they are 57th in college in points per game allowed (68.6). The Aggies defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 40.9% (592 of 1,449) and they surrender 31.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 8th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 277 relinquished on the year.

The last time they took the court, the Nevada Wolf Pack took a loss by a final score of 87-71 when they faced San Jose State. Concerning cleaning the glass, Nevada allowed San Jose State to pull down 32 overall (11 offensive). They finished shooting 51.7% from 3-point land by shooting 15 of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 12 of 19 at the free throw line (63.2%). The Wolf Pack permitted San Jose State to bury 30 of their 58 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 51.7% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Wolf Pack ended up shooting 22 for 55 from the field which had them sitting at 40.0%. With respect to shooting from downtown, Nevada converted 3 of their 20 tries (15.0%). They were able to knock down 24 of those for a percentage of 75.0%. San Jose State earned 24 fouls for this game which took the Wolf Pack to the charity stripe for 32 shots. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while getting 10 steals in this matchup. The Wolf Pack were able to collect 17 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 28 in the matchup.

Corey Camper Jr. ended up having an impact for the Wolf Pack for this game. He scored 18 points in his 34 mins of playing time and totaled 4 assists in this contest. He buried 7 out of 15 for the matchup giving him a rate of 46.7%, and earned 3 rebounds.

Nevada has a win-loss record of 17-9 on the season. The Wolf Pack commit 17.9 fouls per contest and they shoot 75.7% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 14.2 times per game (164th in the nation) and they are turning it over 9.5 times per contest. Nevada has earned 1,975 points this season (76.0 per contest) and they pull in 35.6 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Wolf Pack are shooting 43.5% from the floor, which is ranked 284th in Division 1.

The Nevada defense surrenders 34.5% from downtown (216 of 626) and their opponents are converting on 73.1% of their foul shots. They have given up 13.5 assists and 33.7 boards per contest, which is 193rd and 135th in college. The Wolf Pack on the defensive side of the court are 121st in college in PPG given up with 71.8. They are able to force 11.6 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.6% from the floor (154th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Utah State

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