Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 2/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The Pit is the site where the New Mexico Lobos (18-4) will take on the Utah State Aggies (18-3) on Wednesday.

The Utah State Aggies faced off with San Diego State and took home the win by a score of 71-66 in their last contest. Utah State wrapped up the game with a 40.6% FG percentage (26 out of 64) and made 6 of their 26 shots from 3-point land. From the free throw line, the Aggies knocked down 13 of 23 shots for a percentage of 56.5%. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they earned 37 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 15 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing 13 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When it comes to defense, Utah State allowed the other team to shoot 40.4% from the field on 23 of 57 shooting. San Diego State earned 11 dimes and had 10 steals for this game. In addition, San Diego State grabbed 28 rebounds (5 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't have a block. San Diego State finished the game at 77.8% from the free throw line by burying 14 of their 18 shots. They also made 6 out of their 24 tries from 3-point range. In the matter of fouls, the Aggies walked away with 16 while San Diego State finished the game with 21 fouls.

Karson Templin is one player who was a contributor for this game. He totaled 18 points on 7 out of 10 shooting. He played 29 minutes played and totaled 7 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 70.0% from the floor and also earned 1 assist.

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Utah State enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 18-3 for the campaign. They are turning it over 11.2 times per game and as a group are committing 18.8 fouls per game. As a team, Utah State is collecting 36.2 boards per game and has totaled 380 assists for the year, which has them ranked 42nd in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Aggies are connecting on 36.0% on three-point shots (177 of 492) and 70.5% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 83.6 pts per game (49th in the nation) while shooting 50.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Aggies are able to force 15.1 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They give up 33.0% on shots from downtown while they are 46th in the country in PPG allowed (67.9). The Aggies defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 41.1% (473 of 1,152) and they surrender 31.5 boards per game as a group. They are ranked 7th in the nation in allowing assists to their opponents with 224 relinquished for the season.

When they last played, the New Mexico Lobos went home victorious with a score of 90-80 when they faced San Jose State. The Lobos were able to collect 20 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 27 for the game. They coughed up the ball 6 times, while recording 4 steals in the matchup. San Jose State was called for 22 fouls for the game which took the Lobos to the free throw line for 24 tries. They were able to knock down 21 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 87.5%. Pertaining to shooting from 3-point land, New Mexico knocked down 11 out of their 23 attempts (47.8%). When the game finished, the Lobos went 29 out of 54 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.7%. The Lobos allowed San Jose State to make 29 out of 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.8% for the matchup. They shot 34.4% from beyond the perimeter via 11 of 32 and finished the game at 11 of 15 from the free throw line (73.3%). In reference to team rebounding, New Mexico allowed San Jose State to get 25 in total (8 on the offensive glass).

Jake Hall ended up being a major contributor for the Lobos in the game. He had 27 points in his 34 mins of playing time, but didn't get an assist. He converted 10 of 14 for the game for a field goal rate of 71.4%, and had 2 rebounds.

New Mexico has a win-loss mark of 18-4 on the year. As an offense, the Lobos are shooting 45.8% from the floor, which is 152nd in the nation. New Mexico has accumulated 1,794 points on the campaign (81.5 per contest) and they grab 37.0 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 15.1 times per contest (119th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.9 times per contest. The Lobos commit 17.5 personal fouls per game and they connect on 75.5% from the charity stripe.

The Lobos on the defensive side of the court are 49th in the country in points per game surrendered with 68.0. They have forced 14.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 40.3% from the field (32nd in college). The New Mexico defense concedes 29.0% on shots from distance (176 of 607) and their opponents are converting on 73.2% of their foul shots. They have allowed 11.8 assists and 34.6 rebounds per contest, which has them ranked 62nd and 193rd in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Utah State

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