UTSA Roadrunners vs North Texas Mean Green Prediction, 1/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UTSA Roadrunners vs North Texas Mean Green

Date: Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Location: The Super Pit in Denton, TX

TV: ESPN+

The North Texas Mean Green (10-7) welcome the UTSA Roadrunners (4-13) at The Super Pit on Wednesday.

The UTSA Roadrunners faced off with Memphis and took a loss by a final of 95-69 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Roadrunners finished with 17 and Memphis racked up 12 personal fouls. They knocked down 11 of their 22 shots from distance. Memphis went 66.7% at the free throw line by making 12 of 18 tries. Moreover, Memphis pulled down 34 rebounds (10 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Memphis dished out 23 dimes and had 12 steals in this contest. With respect to the defense, UTSA allowed their opponent to shoot 56.3% from the floor on 36 of 64 shooting. They also dished out 14 assists in this contest in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Pertaining to hauling in rebounds, they compiled 26 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Roadrunners converted 6 of 9 tries for a rate of 66.7%. UTSA finished the contest with a 41.5% FG percentage (27 of 65) and buried 9 of 31 shots from 3-point land.

Dorian Hayes is a guy who was a major factor for the contest. He accounted for 17 points on 6 of 12 shooting. He was on the court for 33 minutes and also pulled down 1 rebound. He ended up going 50.0% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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UTSA steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss record of 4-13 for the year. They have an average of 68.5 pts per contest (331st in Division 1) while hitting 38.5% from the floor. The Roadrunners are hitting 28.6% on 3-point shots (130 of 455) and 67.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, UTSA is pulling in 37.9 boards per contest and has accumulated 191 assists for the campaign, which is 353rd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 12.5 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 16.9 fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Roadrunners are forcing 11.8 turnovers every game and they draw 15.8 fouls. They rank 236th in D-1 in giving up assists with 259 conceded on the campaign. The Roadrunners defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 42.9% (456 of 1,063) and they concede 41.6 boards per game as a team. They relinquish 34.1% from 3-point land and they are ranked 300th in the country in points per game allowed (78.2).

The last time they took the court, the North Texas Mean Green walked away with a victory by a final of 71-63 when they played Tulane. In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, North Texas permitted Tulane to collect 25 in all (6 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 33.3% from downtown by shooting 8 of 24 and finished the game at 25 of 33 from the free throw line (75.8%). The Mean Green allowed Tulane to convert 15 of 48 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 31.3% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Mean Green went 21 out of 57 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.8%. When discussing 3-point attempts, North Texas made 7 out of 22 tries (31.8%). They were able to knock down 22 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 81.5%. Tulane committed 18 personal fouls in this contest which took the Mean Green to the free throw line for 27 shots. They turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 6 steals for the contest. The Mean Green were able to collect 30 defensive boards and 16 offensive boards for a total of 46 in this contest.

David Terrell Jr. was important for the Mean Green for the matchup. He recorded 19 points in his 39 minutes on the court and earned 7 dimes in this contest. He made 6 out of 12 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and tallied 6 rebounds.

North Texas has a record of 10-7 for the campaign. The Mean Green commit 19.9 fouls per contest and they go 68.5% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 13.1 times per game (268th in the country) and they turn it over 12.8 times per game. North Texas has accumulated 1,186 points on the campaign (69.8 per game) and they grab 32.8 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Mean Green are connecting on 44.1% from the field, which is ranked 255th in college.

The Mean Green are ranked 15th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 64.9. They are forcing their opponents into 15.9 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 41.5% from the floor (69th in the country). The North Texas defense allows 28.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (92 of 321) and opponents are knocking down 70.0% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 10.4 assists and 34.4 boards every game, which is 12th and 175th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Texas

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