Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/24/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-9) will try to beat the Vanderbilt Commodores (16-3) at Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday.

The Vanderbilt Commodores played Arkansas and took a loss by a final of 93-68 in their last contest. Vanderbilt wrapped up the contest with a 37.9% field goal percentage (22 out of 58) and converted 10 of their 31 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Commodores made 14 of 19 attempts for a rate of 73.7%. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 25 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 13 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and having 5 steals. Pertaining to the defense, Vanderbilt let their opponent shoot 57.8% from the floor on 37 of 64 shooting. Arkansas recorded 25 dimes and had 5 steals in the matchup. Additionally, Arkansas totaled 36 boards (8 offensive, 28 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Arkansas finished 83.3% from the charity stripe by burying 10 of 12 tries. They also buried 9 of 22 attempts from beyond the arc. In relation to personal fouls, the Commodores ended up finishing with 14 while Arkansas racked up 15 personal fouls.

Tyler Nickel is a guy who came through in this contest. He finished the contest at 46.2% from the field but had no assists at the end of the game. He played 32 mins played and also grabbed 3 rebounds. He recorded 17 points on 6 out of 13 shooting.

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Vanderbilt comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 16-3 for the campaign. They average 90.2 points per contest (11th in college hoops) while going 49.1% from the floor. The Commodores are hitting 36.5% on shots from beyond the arc (195 of 534) and 76.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Vanderbilt is snagging 36.8 boards per contest and has 339 dimes so far this season, which has them ranked 39th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 9.7 times per contest and as a team they are committing 19.5 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on the defensive end, the Commodores are forcing 13.4 turnovers per game while drawing 19.0 personal fouls. They rank 48th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 221 conceded on the campaign. The Commodores defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 41.9% (467 of 1,114) and they surrender 34.2 boards per game as a squad. They give up 29.4% on shots from downtown while they are 217th in the country in PPG allowed (74.9).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Mississippi State Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 88-68 against Texas A&M. The Bulldogs were able to snag 26 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 35 in this game. They turned it over 11 times, while getting 1 steal in the matchup. Texas A&M had 18 personal fouls for this game which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 15 attempts. They were able to knock down 10 of the free throws for a percentage of 66.7%. When it comes to 3-pointers, Mississippi State knocked down 6 of their 23 tries (26.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Bulldogs shot 26 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.3%. The Bulldogs allowed Texas A&M to bury 28 out of 68 attempts from the field which had them at 41.2% in this game. They shot 34.6% from downtown by going 9 out of 26 and walked away from this one shooting 23 out of 24 from the free throw line (95.8%). In relation to how they rebounded, Mississippi State allowed Texas A&M to get 31 in total (9 on the offensive glass).

Brandon Walker was important for the Bulldogs for the matchup. He converted 7 out of 10 for the game for a rate of 70.0%, and accumulated 2 rebounds. He totaled 16 points in his 19 mins on the hardwood, but left the arena with no assists.

Mississippi State has a mark of 10-9 this season. The Bulldogs commit 16.1 fouls per contest and they shoot 68.9% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 12.6 times per contest (290th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 11.2 times per game. Mississippi State has scored 1,497 points this season (78.8 per contest) and they pull in 40.9 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offense, the Bulldogs are shooting 44.4% from the floor, which ranks 247th in D-1.

The Bulldogs are ranked 294th in D-1 in points per game surrendered with 78.0. They are forcing 9.6 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.0% from the field (92nd in Division 1). The Mississippi State defense surrenders 30.2% on shots from distance (147 of 486) and opponents are making 74.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 13.1 assists and 38.7 total boards per game, ranking them 165th and 344th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Vanderbilt

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