Wichita State Shockers vs South Florida Bulls Prediction, 3/15/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Wichita State Shockers vs USF Bulls

Date: Sunday, March 15, 2026

Location: Legacy Arena at BJCC in Birmingham, AL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Wichita State (+6)

The USF Bulls (23-8) are hosting the Wichita State Shockers (21-10) at Legacy Arena at BJCC on Sunday in the American Conference Tournament Final. South Florida opens as 6-point favorites. The over/under is 150.5.

The Wichita State Shockers took the court against Florida Atlantic and went home with a win by a final score of 88-70 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Shockers walked away with 12 and Florida Atlantic recorded 12 fouls. They made 6 out of their 16 shots from 3-point land. Florida Atlantic ended up going 80.0% at the free throw line by making 16 of their 20 attempts. On top of that, Florida Atlantic grabbed 29 rebounds (8 offensive, 21 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Florida Atlantic distributed 11 assists and had 6 steals for this game. With respect to defense, Wichita State allowed the other team to shoot 43.6% from the field on 24 out of 55 shooting. They also doled out 14 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 15 turnovers and having 12 steals. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they earned 35 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Shockers converted 11 of 12 shots for a percentage of 91.7%. Wichita State finished the contest with a 50.7% FG percentage (35 out of 69) and converted 7 of 17 shots from downtown.

Dillon Battie is someone who was a contributor for the contest. He accounted for 22 points on 9 out of 10 shooting. He was on the court for 29 minutes and grabbed 12 boards. He walked away from this one shooting 90.0% from the field and totaled 2 dimes.

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Wichita State heads into this one with a mark of 21-10 this season. They average 78.3 points per game (117th in the nation) while going 44.4% from the floor. The Shockers are shooting 34.0% on 3-point shots (224 of 659) and 69.1% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Wichita State is grabbing 41.0 boards per game and has earned 360 dimes so far this year, which has them ranked 341st in the country in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 10.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.4 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Shockers are able to force 11.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 31.0% on 3-pointers while they are 89th in the nation in points per game allowed (70.5). The Shockers defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 42.4% (777 of 1,831) and they concede 33.9 rebounds per game as a group. They are 9th in college hoops in giving up assists to the opposition with 334 surrendered for the season.

For their last game, the USF Bulls walked away with a victory by a final of 83-60 when they faced Charlotte. When it comes to team rebounding, South Florida allowed Charlotte to pull down 33 in total (12 on the offensive side). They went 26.7% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 8 out of 30 and ended up shooting 6 out of 10 at the free throw line (60.0%). The Bulls permitted Charlotte to convert 23 of their 58 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 39.7% in this game. When the final whistle was blown, the Bulls shot 30 out of 71 from the field which had them at 42.3%. In regard to shooting from beyond the arc, South Florida made 13 out of their 35 tries (37.1%). They were able to knock down 10 of those for a percentage of 66.7%. Charlotte committed 14 personal fouls in this contest which got the Bulls to the charity stripe for 15 tries. They turned it over 6 times, while recording 11 steals in the game. The Bulls were able to snag 22 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for the game.

Joseph Pinion ended up being a factor for the Bulls for the matchup. He made 8 out of 16 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and had 3 rebounds. He had 22 points in his 34 mins on the hardwood and totaled 4 dimes for the matchup.

South Florida has a win-loss record of 23-8 on the season. The Bulls are committing 19.6 fouls per game while shooting 74.2% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 17.4 times per game (21st in Division 1) and they are giving up possession 11.2 times per contest. South Florida has tallied 2,739 points for the campaign (88.4 per game) and they grab 42.8 boards per contest. As an offense, the Bulls are shooting 44.0% from the floor, which is ranked 257th in the nation.

The South Florida defense allows 34.6% on shots from behind the 3-point line (261 of 755) and their opponents are connecting on 70.3% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 13.4 dimes and 37.7 total boards per game, which is 183rd and 338th in the country. The Bulls defensively are ranked 254th in college hoops in PPG surrendered with 76.5. They are forcing their opponents into 14.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.7% from the field (51st in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Wichita State (+6)

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