Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, 12/28/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/23/2020

Game: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Date: Monday, December 28, 2020

Location: Stamford Bridge in London, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Chelsea (-238) Aston Villa (+100)

Timo Werner and Chelsea (6-4-3, 8th in the EPL) host Aston Villa (7-1-4, 9th in the EPL) at Stamford Bridge on Monday. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Edouard Mendy for Chelsea and Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa. The Pensioners are at -238 while the Villains are at +100. The O/U has been set at 3.5.

Chelsea faced Wolverhampton in their last matchup and went home with a loss by a final score of 2-1. Chelsea attempted 18 dribbles in this match and were able to convert 10 of those dribbles for a rate of 55.6%. When discussing the passing game, they ended up with a 85.1% received passes rate by connecting on 444 out of their 522 passing targets last match. In regard to shooting accuracy, Chelsea wrapped this game up at a 23.1% rate by landing 3 shots on target out of 13 shots. Chelsea averages 1.92 goals per 90 minutes (25 total goals) and are sitting with 19 assists In all contests for the year.

Timo Werner is a guy who should impact this matchup for Chelsea. Werner has been in the starting lineup in 190 matches during his pro soccer career and he tallies 0.52 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Germany has earned 96 goals scored in 16,761 mins played. He has accounted for 39 assists while earning 12 yellow card cautions so far in his pro soccer career. Another player who should impact this match is Kai Havertz, the forward born in Germany. He has helped on a goal 22 times in his career and he has scored 37 goals. Havertz has 9,706 minutes in 109 starts and has been handed 11 yellow cards. He sports an average of 0.34 goals per 90 minutes during his career.

The man protecting the net for Chelsea is Edouard Mendy. Mendy has seen the field for 10,183 mins and has accumulated 293 stops in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.87 (98 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of .780. The keeper hailing from Senegal has had 377 shots tried at him in 113 career starts. Mendy (34-27-19 record in his career) has earned 48 clean sheets, which gives him a 42.5% clean sheet rate.

When they last stepped on the pitch, Aston Villa earned three points by winning 3-0 against West Brom. They wrapped up this match by connecting on 520 out of their 605 pass attempts earning a rate of 86.0%. Aston Villa had a 70.6% successful dribble rate by converting 12 of the 17 dribbles they tried. Aston Villa landed 9 shots attempted out of 19 shots attempted which gave them a 47.4% clip when they last took the field. Having a total of 23 goals and 19 assists in all their games, Aston Villa averages 1.92 goals and 1.58 assists per 90.

Jack Grealish will be counted on for Aston Villa. He has an average of 0.19 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 166 games in his career. The forward born in England has earned 15,254 mins while scoring 33 goals. He has accumulated 35 yellow cards thus far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 31 times. You should also watch out for Ollie Watkins, the forward born in England. He has collected 72 goals so far in his pro soccer career while assisting on a goal 21 times. Watkins has earned himself a total of 27 yellow cards in 17,002 mins (187 starts). His goals per 90 minute average during his soccer career is 0.38.

Emiliano Martinez will look after the goal for Aston Villa. Martinez has 28 shutouts and has seen 367 shots tried against him in 7,339 minutes throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of .730 and his shutout rate is currently at 34.6%. He has given up 1.26 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 31-19-31. So far in his career, Martinez has surrendered 103 goals and has earned 265 saves in 81 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+100)

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Pick:	KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -5.5
Start:	December 15, 2024 @ 1:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #465 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) The Chiefs keep winning games and sooner or later one of those wins will come by a comfortable margin. I look for that to be this Sunday against a Browns team that is just playing out the string. Cleveland currently sits at 3- 10 and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their only win came against Pittsburgh in a snow game on a short week. All 4 of those losses by the Browns have come over the posted number for this game. Kansas City is better on both sides of the football, and I just do not see the Browns offense keeping pace. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and hockey. We will feature our World-Famous Nonconference Game of the Year in College Basketball on Saturday. This game has won 13 of the 15 years it has been in existence and it is a must have for any big game hunter. Read More Read Less

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, 12/28/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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