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Napoli vs Lazio Prediction, 3/3/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/28/2023

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Game: Napoli vs Lazio

Date: Friday, March 3, 2023

Location: Stadio San Paolo in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-163) Lazio (+440)

Napoli (21-2-1) welcomes Lazio (12-6-5) at Stadio San Paolo on Friday. The Blues are priced at -163 and Lazio are at +440. The over/under is 2.5. The goaltenders protecting the net are Alex Meret for Napoli and Ivan Provedel for Lazio.

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Napoli has earned 45 SVs and have earned a save rate of 77.0 so far this season. Their differential on goals is at 43 by way of 58 goals tallied and also 15 goals given up. So far this season, the team is sitting with an average of 2.71 pts/match (65 pts) and have a rank of 1st in Serie A with 44 assists. The Blues sit at 1st in relation to xG having 46.0, and their xGA are at 19.7. Napoli has accumulated 32 yellow cards for the year and also 1 red card. S.S.C. Napoli has given up 15 goals while surrendering 0.62 goals per 90, and opposing teams have 61 SoT on them. They have accounted for 12 clean sheets, giving them a % of 50.0 so far this year.

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This year, the White and Sky Blues have a save % of 77.8 (81 shots on target against), and have a rank of 6th in the league with 42 points. The White and Sky Blues come in with an average of 1.8 points per match while compiling 27 assists and 1 red card. Lazio has accumulated 39 goals and the team's expected goals over the course of the season is sitting at 31.5. The White and Sky Blues have recorded a clean sheet percentage of 52.2 for the year and 46 yellow card cautions. This team's goals against per 90 min is at 0.83 in addition to 62 saves, and they have amassed 12 shut outs. Lazio has a ranking of 2nd when talking about goals relinquished with 19, and the team's goal differential is sitting at 20.

The guy who will defend the goal for Napoli will be Alex Meret. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.04 (128 total goals surrendered) and he has earned a save percentage of .743. Meret (70-28-24 record in his career) has tallied 41 clean sheets, which gives him a 33.3% shutout percentage. Meret has seen the pitch for a total of 11,057 minutes and has accumulated 335 saves thus far in his career. The goalie hailing from Italy has faced 451 shots sent his way in 123 starts.

Ivan Provedel will be looking after the goal for Lazio. He has allowed 1.37 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 58-66-66. Provedel has totaled 50 shutouts and has seen 822 shots against him in 17,312 career mins. During his pro soccer career, Provedel has allowed 264 goals and has totaled 575 saves in 192 starts. He is the owner of a save percentage of .700 and his clean sheet rate sits at 26.0%.

Hirving Lozano is one member of the side you are going to want to keep your eye on for Napoli. The forward hailing from Mexico has 80 goals in 17,011 minutes played. Lozano has been in the starting lineup in 195 contests in his career and has 0.42 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 41 assists while tallying 38 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career.

Lazio stars Pedro, who should keep defenses up at night. The forward born in Spain has been on the pitch for 23,100 mins while scoring 95 goals. He has an average of 0.37 G/90 and has been a starter in 262 contests in his career. He has tallied 36 yellow cards so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 56 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lazio (+440)

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