Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva Pick, 09/13/2025 Predictions UFC Noche 3 Odds
Diego Lopes vs Jean Silva
UFC Noche 3
Frost Bank Center in San Antonio
Saturday, September 13, 2025
Diego Lopes will face off against Jean Silva at UFC Noche 3 on Saturday, September 13, 2025. The opening odds have Lopes at +220 while Silva is priced at -260.
Diego Lopes will be looking to add a victory to his record of 26-7-0. The 30-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Jean "Lord" Silva stands 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 16-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 69". In the category of significant strikes, Diego Lopes lands 3.70 per min and Jean Silva lands 4.87 significant strikes per minute. Lopes connects on 47% of the significant strikes he tries and Silva is connecting on 52%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, Lopes takes 4.76 significant strikes per minute and "Lord" allows 4.13. Lopes also defends 46% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Silva curbs 56% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Noche 3 | Diego Lopes | Jean Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +220 | -260 |
| Record | 26-7-0 | 16-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:36 | 8:22 |
| Height | 5'11" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 72" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.70 | 4.87 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 52% |
In terms of takedowns, Diego Lopes is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.35 times per 15 minutes. Lopes is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries and thwarting 67% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Silva is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 86% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Lopes is the more capable fighter by going for 1.9 subs per 3 rounds while Silva tries 0.9 subs per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Diego Lopes went up against Alexander Volkanovski and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 5. Volkanovski ended up landing 165 of 266 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Lopes walked away from this fight having landed 71 of 203 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Volkanovski landed 158 of 259, which gave him a percentage of 61%. He landed 136 of 225 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Lopes landed 32% of his significant strikes by connecting on 63 of 194. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 49 of 171 pointed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Volkanovski and 93% of them connected on by Lopes were done at distance.
In the last fight for Jean Silva, he went up against Bryce Mitchell and ended up getting the victory by a guillotine choke in round 2. Mitchell landed 97% of his significant strikes at distance and Silva ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Silva landed 42% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 27 of 63. He landed 11 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. Mitchell landed 36 of 64 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 7 of 25 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Mitchell ended up landing 37 of 66 while Silva connected on 29 of 65 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch out for
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Rob Font faces off with David Martinez. Font walks into the cage with a mark of 22-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Martinez comes in at 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 67". Regarding grappling, Rob Font takes his opponents to the mat 0.79 times per 3 rounds and David Martinez scores a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Font connects on 5.49 strikes/minute and connects on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is David Martinez, who is landing 52% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 5.40 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Jared Gordon is set to square up in the Octagon against Rafa Garcia. Garcia holds a career record of 17-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Gordon measures 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to takedowns, Rafa Garcia is able to defend against 77% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 43% of his tries. Gordon is taking his opponents to the mat on 32% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 62% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Garcia is taking 4.47 strikes per min while he is dishing out 4.01 per min. Gordon, at the same time, takes 3.91 strikes per minute and connects on 5.67 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Diego Lopes (+220)
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