Rob Font vs David Martinez Pick, 09/13/2025 Predictions UFC Noche 3 Odds
Rob Font vs David Martinez
UFC Noche 3
Frost Bank Center in San Antonio
Saturday, September 13, 2025
Rob Font will face off with David Martinez at UFC Noche 3 on Saturday, September 13, 2025. The line has Font at -145 while Martinez is at +125.
Rob Font walks into the cage with a mark of 22-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". David "Black Spartan" Martinez comes in at 5'5" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-1-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 67". Regarding significant strikes, Rob Font is landing 5.49 per min while David Martinez connects on 5.40 significant strikes per min. Font is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he throws and Martinez is landing 52%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Font absorbs 3.67 significant strikes per minute while "Black Spartan" absorbs 2.70. Font also deflects 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Martinez prevents 67% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Noche 3 | Rob Font | David Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -145 | +125 |
| Record | 22-8-0 | 12-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:03 | 9:49 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.49 | 5.40 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 52% |
Concerning wrestling, Rob Font is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 0.79 times per 3 rounds. Font is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his attempts and stuffing 42% of the takedowns his opponents try. Martinez is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 80% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Font is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Martinez tries 0.8 subs per 3 rds.
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In his last fight, Rob Font squared up with Jean Matsumoto and wound up taking home the win by way of split decision in round 3. Matsumoto ended up landing 113 of 225 total strikes that he let go. Font ended the night having landed 113 of 191 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Matsumoto ended up landing 77 of 181, giving him a percentage of 42%. He landed 43 of 135 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Font landed 55% of his significant strikes by landing 95 of 171. Of those significant strikes, he was 82 of 157 to the head. 89% of the significant strikes landed by Matsumoto and 89% of them landed by Font were done at distance.
In the last fight for David Martinez, he squared up with Saimon Oliveira and took home the victory via a knee to the head in round 1. Oliveira ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Martinez ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Martinez landed 65% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 27 of 41. He ended up landing 21 of 34 significant strikes to the head. Oliveira ended up connecting on 7 of 24 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 17 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that contest, Oliveira connected on 7 of 24 while Martinez was 28 of 42 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Rafa Garcia faces off against Jared Gordon. Garcia holds a career record of 17-4-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Gordon measures 5'9" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-7-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old reaches 68". In the grappling category, Rafa Garcia is averaging a takedown 3.21 times per 3 rds while Jared Gordon takes his opponents to the mat 1.83 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Garcia is connecting on 4.01 strikes/minute and landing 43% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Jared Gordon, who connects on 55% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 5.67 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Dustin Stoltzfus is set to enter the Octagon against Kelvin Gastelum. Gastelum walks into the Octagon with a mark of 20-10-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 71". Stoltzfus stands in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 16-7-0. The 33-year-old stretches 75". When it comes to takedowns, Kelvin Gastelum thwarts 58% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his attempts. Stoltzfus is finishing his takedowns on 41% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 46% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Gastelum absorbs 3.49 strikes per min while he connects on 3.67 strikes/minute. Stoltzfus, on the other side, absorbs 3.14 strikes/min and is landing 3.14 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take David Martinez (+125)
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