2026 PGA Picks: Valero Texas Open Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
After going through brain surgery and battling PTSD over the past couple of years, it was a bittersweet win for Gary Woodland last week at the Texas Children’s Houston Open as he dominated the field to win by five strokes.
This week, the PGA Tour will make the trip to San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open in the final tune-up before The Masters.
This week’s event features a strong field but is still missing both Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy. The Valero Texas Open is set to begin on Thursday, April 2nd, and will run through Sunday, April 5th.
My article will break down this event by providing you with a brief course overview, the outright odds, my best bet to win the tournament, and my two favorite top finish props.
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The Course
The Valero Texas Open will be played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course. This course is a Par 72, featuring 10 Par 4s, four Par 5s, and four Par 3s, while measuring 7438 yards.
TPC San Antonio’s Oaks Course was designed by Greg Norman and opened in 2010. Since that time, this venue has hosted the Valero Texas Open on the PGA Tour annually.
This course has an emphasis on driving, with many of the holes featuring narrow fairways. As such, players will need to avoid going left or right off the tee box to have success.
Outright Odds
Below are the top 10 outright odds to win the Valero Open per DraftKings Sportsbook:
*Tommy Fleetwood: +1400
*Ludvig Aberg: +1550
*Russell Henley: +1800
*Robert MacIntyre: +1800
*Jordan Spieth: +1950
*Si Woo Kim: +1950
*Collin Morikawa: +2000
*Hideki Matsuyama: +2100
*Maverick McNeely: +2300
*Rickie Fowler: +2600
Best Bets
Jordan Spieth to Win the Valero Texas Open (+1950)
My best bet to win the Valero Open this week will target Jordan Spieth. It is well known that Spieth has not been at his best over the last few years, with his last PGA Tour win coming during the 2021-2022 season at the RBC Heritage. That being said, Spieth has had some solid finishes this season, most recently a T11 last week at the Houston Open.
More importantly, Spieth has had success at this event throughout his career. In nine starts at the Texas Valero Open, Spieth has made the cut eight times, which includes a solo-second in 2015, a win in 2021, and, most recently, a T10 in 2024 and a T12 in 2025.
He will need to be more accurate off the tee this week to have a chance, but this is a course Spieth knows well; therefore, backing Spieth to win the Valero Texas Open will be my play.
Russell Henley to Finish Top 20 (Including Ties) (-122)
Given his form so far this season, my favorite Top 20 Finish prop this week will target Russell Henley. He has played a total of six events this season, having finished inside the Top 20 in five of them.
This includes a T19 at the Sony Open, a T8 at the American Express, a T19 at Pebble Beach, a T6 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and a T13 at The Players Championship.
Henley has also had limited success in this event, most recently in 2024, when he finished T4. Before that, he finished T52 in 2019 and missed the Cut in 2016.
It should be noted that Henley is not the longest player (145th in Driving Distance); however, he is one of the most accurate off the tee (5th in Driving Accuracy). Pair that with solid putting (14th in Strokes Gained: Putting), and I will back Henley to finish inside the Top 20 at the Valero Texas Open.
Sudarshan Yellamaraju to Finish Top 30 (Including Ties) (+132)
Another top finish prop I like this week at the Valero Texas Open is for Sudarshan Yellamaraju to finish inside the Top 30. The emergence of Yellamaraju has been one of the storylines this season, as he taught himself how to play golf using videos on YouTube.
Not only that, but he has had a run of good form recently, posting back-to-back Top 10 finishes, which include an impressive T5 at The Players Championship and a T6 last week at the Texas Children’s Houston Open. He now has a total of four Top 25 finishes in his first eight events on the PGA Tour and should continue that success at TPC San Antonio.
Yellamaraju looks to be fit for this course as well, considering he is 16th on Tour in Driving Distance, while also being accurate (34th in Driving Accuracy). On top of that, he is 19th in Strokes Gained: Putting.
Another Top 10 or Top 20 finish is possible; however, my best bet will be for Yellamaraju to finish inside the Top 30.
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