2021 Masters Prop Bets: Expert Betting Picks and Analysis
In the world we live in today, it seems that everything has to happen as quickly as possible for people to be content. They want faster Internet, faster commutes to work, faster cars, faster ways to consume content, and faster ways to cash the bets they make. If you are one of those people who wants everything to be done fast, I don’t believe golf is the sport for you to be wagering on. Unless of course, you are open to the idea of dabbling on some prop bets for the upcoming Masters tournament.
For those of you new to sports betting, or new to betting on golf in general, The Masters is one of the most prestigious golf tournaments in the world. It’s exclusively held at Augusta National Golf Course in Augusta, Georgia. The winner of the tournament earns more than $2 million and gets the honor of securing a Green Jacket that can be worn off the grounds for 365 days before being returned to the Champions locker room for future wear on the premises.
Generally speaking, when you bet on a golf tournament, you are trying to predict which golfer will win the tournament. This bet lasts four days. And unless your golfer is in contention on Sunday, you can all but kiss your money goodbye. There are also head-to-head matchups available to bet on, which means Player X must finish higher on the leaderboard than Player Y. There are also wagers available to make on which golfer(s) will finish in the Top-5, Top-10 or Top-20 overall at the end of the tournament. Those are your basics. And then there are your prop bets.
While golf prop bets may not be as glamorous or as talked about as prop bets involving the Super Bowl, there is still money to be made if you know where to look and what you are looking for. Some prop bets span all four rounds of the tournament, while some can be won or lost in the blink of an eye.
I’ve circled some of my favorite prop bets to play during The Masters, and I hope this helps you make some money on the tournament this weekend.
Will there be a hole in one? “Yes” -175 or “No” +135
Since The Masters became an official golf tournament in 1931, there have been 31 players that have been fortunate enough to etch their name in Masters history. If we break it down by hole, the Par-3 fourth hole has been aced just one time, and that was in 1992 by a guy named Jeff Sluman. The fourth is notoriously one of the hardest holes on the course, and we don’t see an ace happening there this weekend. The sixth hole has yielded six hole-in-ones, with the most recent coming in 2013 courtesy of Jamie Donaldson. The 12th hole is the shortest par-3 on the course, but it’s yielded only three aces and none since Curtis Strange pulled off the feat in 1988. And lastly, the 16th is the most famous Par-3 on the course as it’s been aced 22 times. The last time we got an ace here during official tournament play was in 2019 when Justin Thomas and
Bryson DeChambeau both drained their 179-yard iron shot. There has been at least one ace in The Masters in four of the last five years, with the exception coming in last year’s tournament, which was played in November and played in very different conditions. I know the juice is not something you’d want to lay, but I’m comfortable in saying I do believe someone will ace the 16th again this year.
Pick: “Yes” -175
Will There Be A Playoff? “Yes” +400 or “No” -670
I won’t be playing this myself. However, if you believe in some sort of trend where numbers and years affect your wagers, then boy do I have a story to share with you. First off, there have been only 17 playoffs in Masters history. The last came in 2017 when Sergio Garcia got the better of Justin Rose on the first playoff hole. Prior to that, we saw a playoff between Adam Scott and Angel Cabrera in 2013 and Bubba Watson vs Louis Oosthuizen in 2012. If you go beyond that, in 2009, Angel Cabrera won a three-man playoff. And then in 2005, Tiger Woods beat Chris DiMarco. If you’re a pattern guy, you would note that since 2005, there’s been a playoff exactly every four years – with the exception of 2012. I’m not saying it’ll happen, but the year is 2020.
Pick: “Yes” +400
Winning Nationality: USA -165, Europe +235, Rest of World +520
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure out why the American contingent is heavily favored to win this golf tournament. You have Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Brooks Koepka, Collin Morikawa, Patrick Reed, and Tony Finau all playing on behalf of the Red, White and Blue. That’s a stacked list to choose from to have one of them win the tournament. The competition they are up against is the likes of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Sergio Garcia, Paul Casey, Tommy Fleetwood, Adam Scott, Jason Day, Hideki Matsuyama and Sunjae Im, to name a few. I’m not going to say who will win the tournament, but I’m almost certain it will be an American for the fourth year in a row.
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