2025 PGA Championship Golf Predictions with Odds and Expert Picks
We are barely a month removed from the conclusion of The Masters, where we saw one of the game’s greats, Rory McIlroy, don his first Green Jacket. This win completed golf’s Grand Slam, as McIlroy has hoisted the trophy at all four major events.
The Northern Islander is properly poised to add to the list of his majors this week as the PGA Championship will be held in one of my favorite cities, charming Charlotte, North Carolina. The Quail Hollow Country Club and Course is one of McIlroy's favorites and is typically the host of the Wells Fargo Championship.
Last week, we had the Truist Championship, which replaced the Wells Fargo, but was in an alternate location due to the PGA Championship being held at Quail Hollow.
We were almost on two winners in a row last week as Justin Thomas, with undervalued 16-1 odds, finished runner-up by two strokes to another vet, Sepp Straka.
As you scroll down, you’ll see Thomas’s odds this week are the same, even with a much more competitive field of golfers. The chase for the win last week may have taken a little bit out of him. I have a bonus bet for Justin Thomas at the end of this article.
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PGA Championship Betting Odds
Scottie Scheffler: +450
Rory McIlroy: +475
Bryson DeChambeau: +775
Justin Thomas: +1600
Jon Rahm: +2000
Xander Schauffele: +2000
Ludvig Aberg: +2200
Collin Morikawa: +2500
Joaquin Niemann: +3300
Patrick Cantlay: +4000
Tommy Fleetwood: +4000
Hideki Matsuyama: +4000
Jordan Spieth:+4500
Quail Hollow - Course Characteristics
Quail Hollow ranked as the 6th most challenging golf course on the PGA Tour in 2024 and in the top eight in five of the past six years. This includes 2017, the only other year it's been used for the PGA Championship, when it ranked #1. They've also recently added even more length to a long set of links at over 7,600 yards.
Not surprisingly, it's a Carolina-style course with narrow fairways, minimal water hazards, and too many dog-legs to count.
PGA Championship Betting Picks
Rory McIlroy: +475
We told you McIlroy's odds to win were about to pull even with those of Scottie Scheffler, as SS is just a quarter of a point away at (+450). I'm seeing a lot of love for Bryson DeChambeau this week, and I get it. His course fit and betting value are hard to argue with. However, McIlroy has some of the best playing history of any active golfer at any course.
In his 13 starts at Quail Hollow, McIlroy has 9 top 10 finishes, including four victories, including his first and last tournament played here.
With him playing some of the best golf of his career this season, I don’t know how you can pass on McIlroy this week.
Xander Schauffele: +2000
No, McIlroy isn't a value pick, but we had to do it. Xander Schauffele, winner of multiple major tournaments and top-five player in the world, is our value play. Has he returned to his winning ways since his injury? No, but the Cali native has finishes of 8th, 18th, and just days ago, 11th, where he was just one stroke off of McIlroy's total.
The course fit and history are there already. He has finished runner-up here in the previous two years. We are just getting 20-1 because the oddsmakers still think he is banged up. His recent results say otherwise.
Bryson DeChambeau: +775
The artist formerly known as Bryson D-Bol DeChambeau makes his quarterly return to the PGA Tour as the LIV golfers just show up for the majors. The dude is jacked, though, and he’s come a long way from out-driving everyone into the trees and still winning tournaments.
He's still crushing the ball off the tee, but now with more accuracy and precision. I usually avoid the LIV guys to win a major, but the man once known primarily for his putting has evolved his game in a way that very few pro athletes can do.
PGA Championship Prop Bets
Justin Thomas Top 20 Finish: -105
You stuck with me that long. Now, for your bonus prop bet for the PGA Championship. Over his previous four starts on Tour, Thomas has one win and two runner-up finishes. His course history isn't super, with several placings in the 20s. He does have a win here, however. I love him for a top 20 play at nearly even money.
Rickie Fowler Top 20 Finish: +425
I was only planning on one bonus prop bet, but Rickie Fowler, the Pastel Pompadour, has some juicy betting odds of better than 4-1 for a top 20 finish. Top 10 is pushing it, but he's 9-1 there.
Why Fowler, though? We haven’t heard much from him since I wasted a pick on him several months ago. The baby-faced Cali kid just had his best finish of 2025 just days ago at The Truist Championship.
His course history is also there, with five top 5 finishes in 12 starts at Quail Hollow.
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