PGA Picks: RBC Heritage Predictions with Betting Odds and Expert Picks
The defending champ is in the field for this week’s RBC Heritage, and that is Stewart Cink. He sure likes this layout, having won here last year and in 2000 and 2004.
As you can see below, we have a great array of top-end talent, and the winner of the RBC Heritage earns the tartan plaid jacket.
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A Look at the Field
Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks.
Cameron Smith +1400 - Collin Morikawa +1400 - Justin Thomas +1400 - Dustin Johnson +1800
Patrick Cantlay +1800 - Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000 - Shane Lowry +2200 - Corey Conners +2800
Daniel Berger +2800 - Joaquin Niemann +2800 - Russell Henley +2800
Jordan Spieth +3300 - Sungjae Im +3300 - Webb Simpson +3300
This week it is a lot about the mental state of players. Normally, Berger and Simpson would be among the first names spoken. Each of their games fit the Harbour Town track, and each has a good history of playing well here. But this has not been a strong “horses for courses” year. Berger has not been sharp since a final round 74 prevented him from winning the Honda Classic, and Simpson’s best finish was T-35 at Augusta in 2022.
Smith had a few bad holes Sunday at Augusta on the back nine, which took him out of winning contention. Does he move on? Or will that linger and affect his concentration this week?
Thomas, Johnson and Cantlay played well at times last week and oddly at others. None in this group seems dialed in, though Thomas keeps finishing in the Top 10, Johnson takes one step closer each time out in showing improvement, and Cantlay has a good history of playing well at Pete Dye courses that are not lengthy (that's Harbour Town). One of these three probably has a good week.
Morikawa showed up at The Masters to finish 5th. And given his stellar iron play, that momentum should carry over.
Lowry ended up T-3 last week, which could help him going into this tournament. But, he also talked about “going all in” at Augusta and was “spent” Sunday night. Will Lowry be ready or flat this week?
Conners and Henley have solid resumes on Dye courses.
Fitzpatrick has six Top 18’s in his last seven starts, and he ranks 6th in scoring average, making him among those players to ponder this week.
Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets
Even adding 70 yards to this course, Harbour Town Golf Links comes in at 7,121 yards and is far from lengthy. The yards were added to a couple of the par 5’s since last year, and the par was lifted to 71.
The layout is known for two things, the signature lighthouse and having to use almost every club in the bag.
With tree-lined fairways, the driver stays in the bag quite a bit, because hitting out of the trees can force some very long third shots. This is primarily a second-shot course, and annually the pros hit about 65 percent for greens in regulation, which is 10 percent lower than most tourneys.
For anyone to compete for the title, you have to be able to scramble from anywhere, even if the penalties are not really severe. One has to keep their wits about them and take it one shot at a time.
The greens are a bit smaller by tour standards, and are prepped to where the players want them at 11.5 to 12 on the stimp meter.
This week, those that stay out of the trees off the tee box, are firm with their irons and use a little imagination to shape shots to get near pins, they will be near the top of the leaderboard. After that, it’s about strokes gained from scrambling, and those that find a rhythm with the putter can finish in the Top 5.
Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week
Among the top players, Morikawa might be worth a look for a Top 5 and almost certainly a Top 10 finish.
Also on our radar is Fitzpatrick for a Top 10. And if you can find him in head-to-head tourney play as an underdog, he’s worth laying out money.
For Top 20 action, Conners fits the bill. If those with larger odds that would lead to bigger paydays are attractive to you, do the research and look up Kevin Na and Kevin Kisner for this category.
Doug Upstone of Doc’s Sports was in the golf business for over 20+ years and understands the ins and outs of what it takes to find winners on the Tour. Doug had a big week, having Masters champion Scott Scheffler as his best bet and he picked up +$810 profit. That’s two straight winning weeks for Upstone.
Doug Upstone of Doc’s Sports has - 23 Documented No. 1 Titles - 97 Documented Top 10 Finishes - 28 Handicapper of the Month Awards. (Latest: NBA March 2022) Doug as a professional handicapper/writer has written for various well-known sports betting websites and several football newsletters.