2025 PGA Picks: The Memorial Tournament Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
Memorial Day has come and gone. I hope everyone's Summer got off to a great start. The Memorial, however, goes down this week at the majestic Muirfield Village. Dublin, Ohio, isn't exactly Pebble Beach on the Monterey Peninsula, but it's one of the most respected and revered courses in the world. More on Muirfield Village in a moment.
Much like the weather, the PGA Tour is finally heating up. We are just two weeks removed from the PGA Championship and only two more to go before the U.S. Open.
We've been pretty hot here as well. Over the past four tournaments, our betting picks have been 1st, 2nd, 2nd, and in last week's action, we had two golfers, Scottie Scheffler and Tommy Fleetwood, each finishing tied for 4th.
The field is thick again this week, albeit without a familiar face, Northern Ireland’s Rory McIlroy. I read one article saying it was “Disgusting” that he sat this one out. People really have to lighten up. I’m surprised elite golfers like him and Scheffler play as often as they do.
As you might expect, the world #1 is atop the betting board at 3-1, and by quite a margin. California’s Collin Morikawa is far behind at 18-1, with Justin Thomas and the struggling Xander Schauffele each at 20-1 to win The Memorial.
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The Memorial Betting Odds
Scottie Scheffler: +300
Collin Morikawa: +1800
Justin Thomas: +2000
Xander Schauffele: +2000
Patrick Cantlay: +2200
Tommy Fleetwood: +2500
Ludvig Aberg: +3000
Corey Conners: +3300
Shane Lowry: +3500
Viktor Hovland: +3500
Sepp Straka: +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick: +6000
Muirfield Village - Course Characteristics
Since its inception, Muirfield Village has ranked among the top ten most difficult golf courses on the PGA Tour. That wasn't good enough for Nicklaus, though, as he tweaked it once more, and it's been top-five over the past two years.
The Bentgrass greens could be the most difficult to hit in regulation on the PGA Tour. The fairways are tight, with thick Kentucky bluegrass rough lending itself to the tree line way too soon.
If you do happen to make the green, they are historically fast. You get it. The design is made by one of the greatest to ever do it, and he takes great pride in the frustrations of the world’s best.
The Memorial Betting Picks
Scottie Scheffler: +300
Scheffler played well below his A-game last week and still finished inside the top five. He appeared to tweak something during his second round, finishing 1 over par for the day and essentially eliminating himself from contention as fair weather contradicted the forecast, leading to a Ben Griffin win.
Scheffler shot 6 under on Saturday, though, so I don’t think whatever he did to himself is an issue.
He’s the defending champ at this tournament, and he finished 3rd in his previous two starts before that. The world #1 is 1st, 1st, 4th over his last three PGA Tour events. His odds aren’t much, but anything at 3-1 or better for him in a non-major event carries value.
Sepp Straka: +4000
Sepp Straka is in prime form in 2025. The 32-year-old has played in 15 tournaments this year, missing the cut just three times, with an average finishing position of 12th.
This includes two victories, including the Truist Championship that concluded 10 days ago.
How about course history? He’s played his best golf here over the past two events, finishing 16th and 5th.
Straka is a steal at 40-1!
Viktor Hovland: +3500
Another golfer with great odds this week is Norway’s Viktor Hovland. Having burst onto the scene with Morikawa, it looked like Hovland could have been the more promising golfer. He still could, but I’m out on betting the former “To win” for a while. He has 11 runner-up finishes in his young career to go along with 6 victories.
Look at the ratio of Hovland. He actually has more wins, with 7 and only 5 runners-up. The 27-year-old may not be as consistent, but he's a better finisher.
It hasn't been his best season so far, but we can't forget this is where Hovland won his first-ever PGA Tour event just two years ago.
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