PGA Picks: 2024 US Open Golf Predictions with Betting Odds

The PGA Tour heads down to North Carolina for the third major of the season, the U.S. Open, after Scottie Scheffler collected his fifth victory of the year last week at Muirfield. Scheffler will look to add to his historic campaign and is on a completely different planet than the rest of the field. Xander Schauffele, Rory Mcllroy, and Collin Morikawa have the next best odds to win this week’s major. The No. 2 Course at Pinehurst Resort and Country Club will be the host, and pretty much every top-50 player in the world will be looking for the coveted major victory. Doc’s Sports will break down some of this week’s best bets from Pinehurst below.

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A Look at the Field

Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks

Scottie Scheffler +300 – Xander Schauffele +1000 – Rory Mcllroy +1100 – Collin Morikawa +1400

Viktor Hovland +2000 – Bryson DeChambeau +2000 – Brooks Koepka +2000 – Ludvig Aberg +2200

Jon Rahm +2500 – Tommy Fleetwood +3500 – Hideki Matsuyama +3500 – Justin Thomas +4000

Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets

The No. 2 Course at Pinehurst will play as a par 70 and measures in at 7,548 yards. This course ranks as one of the tougher landscapes in the U.S. Open rotation and get ready for a ton of sand traps. Designed by Donald Ross, he is notorious for his treacherous greens with severe slopes and microscopic landing zones. Precise iron play, especially from 175+ yards away, is crucial to succeed at this course. Pinehurst features four Par 3’s that all measure over 180 yards, two Par 5’s that measure 588 and 617 yards, and seven of the Par 4’s range between 470 and 530 yards. The tight run-offs, short grass, and extreme contouring truly makes this course a challenge. Scrambling around the green will be another key metric for whoever stands victorious on Sunday. In 2014, there were 10 holes that featured double bogey/worse rates over three percent. Long iron play, scrambling, and three-putt avoidance will be key to conquer Pinehurst this week.

Tommy Fleetwood +3500

Fleetwood fits two of the statistical parameters important to winning a major. He ranks third in Driving Accuracy and 10th in Scrambling on the PGA Tour. The Englishman also ranks inside the top-50 in Total Putting. Fleetwood has finished inside the top-30 in six out of his last seven starts, including a T3 at the Masters. His recent form suggests he will be in the mix come Sunday. He shows up for majors with top-10 finishes in three out of his last four major events and has a trio of top-five placings at the U.S. Open. The last five U.S. Open champions have been first-time major winners, so that is a trend worth backing this week.

Hideki Matsuyama +3500

Matsuyama loves playing in U.S. Open’s. He has made the cut in nine of the past 10 years at this event, while posting a pair of top-four finishes and four other top-21s. The last time Matsuyama missed a cut at a U.S. Open was back in 2016, so we are going on eight straight years now. His game is in fine form after having one of his best performances last week at the Memorial. He finished T8 and gained strokes in every Strokes Gained category. Hideki’s overall game is well-suited for Pinehurst with an incredible short game and is one of the best long-iron players of the past decade.

Will Zalatoris +10000

Zalatoris has tremendous upside for this price tag of 100-1. In seven of his last nine appearances at the Masters, U.S. Open, and PGA Championship, he has tied for 10th or better. His last top-10 finish of this season came at the Masters. Willy Z just has the laser focus to get up for the biggest moments of the season. He is an accurate driver of the golf ball, ranking 25th in Driving Accuracy. The former Demon Deacon also ranks 46th on Tour in Approach proximity from outside 200 yards and is above average at scrambling. If you are looking for a longshot this week, Zalatoris has the most upside with his track record at big tournaments.

Dustin Johnson +10000

Another longshot worth coughing up some dough on is DJ. Johnson can go head-to-head with anyone on any given day. At majors in the United States since 2018, Dustin ranks sixth in Strokes Gained: Total. To put that in perspective, Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka, Rory Mcllroy, Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler are the only players ranked ahead of him. Pretty good company to keep. He has a victory on the LIV Tour this season at Las Vegas and won the U.S. Open in 2016 at Oakmont. He is extremely undervalued this week and worth a wager at Pinehurst.

Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:

To win: Fleetwood, Matsuyama, Zalatoris, Johnson

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