PGA Picks: US Open Golf Predictions with Betting Odds
Third major of the year alert! With the Canadian Open in the rearview mirror, 68 of the top 70 in the Official World Golf Rankings will descend on the Los Angeles Country Club this week in pursuit of the U.S. Open Championship. A fascinating and unfamiliar venue should make for an entertaining finish on Sunday afternoon. Scottie Scheffler is the betting favorite, followed by Masters champion Jon Rahm. Brooks Koepka, who won the PGA last month, comes in as the third favorite and leads the contingent of players from the LIV Tour. Speaking of LIV, this will be the first major since the shocking news that the PGA Tour and LIV have planned a merger. With the combination of LIV and PGA players this week, merger talk will only add to the intrigue of this week’s event. The 123rd U.S. Open should be a fun ride, so buckle up.
Get sports picks for every league and nearly every matchup on Doc’s free picks page.
A Look at the Field
Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks:
Scottie Scheffler +650 – Jon Rahm +900 – Brooks Koepka +1200 – Rory Mcllroy +1400
Patrick Cantlay +1600 – Xander Schauffele +1800 – Viktor Hovland +1800 – Tyrrell Hatton +3000
Jordan Spieth +3000 – Cameron Smith +3000 – Max Homa +3500 – Dustin Johnson +3500
Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets
Golf Picks: Who to Consider This Week:
The George Thomas designed Los Angeles Country Club will host a men’s professional major championship for the very first time in its history. The extremely private venue plays as a par 70 and measures just a tick over 7,400 yards. This course is a beast, and length is far from its defining feature. The width of the fairways and the brutal consequences of big misses should favor accuracy over power. L.A.C.C. is more about angles and more of a second-shot course than we have seen from previous U.S. major venues in the past. Less accurate players will be finding themselves in deep bunkers and extremely thick rough. The putting surface will also be a difficult challenge, as this course has many slopes and players will be hard-pressed just to find a flat putt.
Brooks Koepka +1200
Koepka enters this week as a defending major champion after winning the PGA Championship last month at Oak Hill. As one of the greatest major performers in the history of golf, he now has tallied five major victories (two U.S. Opens) and 13 other top-10 finishes over 38 major appearances. He also finished runner-up to Jon Rahm at the Masters earlier in the season. Winning back-to-back majors is extremely difficult and has not been accomplished since Jordan Spieth in 2015. If anyone can do it, though, Koepka is a good bet. 12-1 is a great price for someone with his caliber of play.
Xander Schauffele +1800
Schauffele’s record at U.S. Open’s is second to none, with five top-10 finishes in six appearances. The San Diego native ranks third in this field on golf courses that are categorized as firm. Xander ranks 13th in good drive percentage on firm golf courses, fifth in overall approach play, second in proximity from 200 yards plus, and 15th in bent-grass putting. Schauffele has 11 top-25 finishes in 14 starts this year. He remains one of the most well-rounded golfers on the PGA Tour and now returns to his home state at a major that he is always relevant at. Back Schauffele to cross the finish line this weekend.
Tyrrell Hatton +3000
It is hard to argue that anyone else in this field has been playing in finer form lately. The Englishman has three top-five and two top-15 finishes in his last five starts. Hatton is also top-20 in four of the five Strokes Gained categories, ranking him third in SG. He is a very legitimate threat to win this year's U.S. Open.
Max Homa +3500
This is a home contest for the California native. Homa currently ranks no. 7 in the world rankings and has two top-10 finishes in his last four events that he has competed in. He has also taken home victories this year at the Fortinet Championship and Farmers Insurance Open. Homa is also no stranger to the Los Angeles Country Club. He set the course record of 61, 9-under par as a senior at Cal, which remains in place today. At 35-1, take the value on Homa’s return to California. A top-five play also has value at +650 odds.
Joaquin Niemann +9000
Niemann went wire-to-wire at Riviera in 2022, which is another George C. Thomas design. He is a sound ball-striker with enough distance off the tee to compete with anyone. The Chilean enters this week ranked 36th in the world rankings. He should be able to tap into his creativity and shot-shaping to make some noise this weekend in LA. At 90-1, this number is worth tossing some coin on. He is also a great bet to crack the top-10 at +650 odds.
Picks to win: Koepka +1200, Schauffele +1800, Hatton +3000, Homa +3500, Niemann +9000
Picks for top 5: Schauffele +360, Hatton +550, Homa +650
Picks for top 10: Homa +280, Niemann +650