Thursday, September 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Josh Collmenter vs. Jose Urena
The Atlanta Braves head to Marlins Park on Thursday to take on the Miami Marlins. The probable pitchers are Josh Collmenter for the Braves and Jose Urena for the Marlins. The opening line for this game has Atlanta at +151 and Miami at -161. The over/under is 9. The Braves have a 79-64-8 over/under mark and a 78-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Marlins are 72-79-0 against the run line and have a 74-72-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Braves head into this game with a 60-91 record, and they are 34-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Josh Collmenter has a 2-0 record with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 25 strikeouts during his 27.1 innings pitched and he has given up 25 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.92. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have allowed 512 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the pen while they've been struck out 510 times and walked 240 times this year. As a unit, Atlanta has given up 8.86 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 hitters per nine. They are 26th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.58. The Braves pitchers have collectively given up 1,338 base hits and 692 earned runs. They have allowed 167 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 512 batters and struck out 1,145. They walk 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.
As a team, Atlanta is hitting .254, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Braves have a .382 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .320 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.75 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this game hitting .302 and his on-base percentage is at .397. He has 168 hits this season along with 93 runs scored and 83 runs batted in. He's struck out 160 times and has walked 82 times. Nick Markakis is hitting .272 and he has an on-base percentage of .347. He has totaled 155 hits so far while scoring 63 runs and he's driven in 87. He has walked 67 times and has struck out 97 times. The Braves have 1,321 hits, including 283 doubles and 110 home runs. They've stolen 67 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Atlanta has walked 471 times this season and they've struck out 1,153 times as a unit. They've left 1,098 men on base and have a team OPS of .702. They score 3.97 runs per contest and have scored a total of 600 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this game with a 38-35 home mark and a 76-75 overall record. With an ERA of 5.59, Jose Urena has a 4-7 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 53 strikeouts over the 75.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 79 hits. He has allowed 9.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.38. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 445 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 521 times and walking 238 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.46 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.96. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,266 base knocks and 592 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 139 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 549 hitters and struck out 1,297. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .265, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Marlins hold a .396 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.15 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .309 and he has an OBP of .365. He has 176 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 70 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 49 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 163 hits so far while he's scored 73 runs and drove in 94. He has earned a walk 64 times and has punched out 133 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,381 base hits, including 249 doubles and 119 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Miami as a team has walked 414 times this year and they have struck out 1,140 times. They've had 1,101 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They score 4.08 runs per game and have totaled 616 runs so far this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Atlanta Braves are 79-64-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Atlanta Braves are 78-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 74-72-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 72-79-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/18/16 P Rob Whalen Shoulder 60-day DL (8/25)
09/17/16 C A.J. Pierzynski Hamstring 60-day DL (9/11)
09/14/16 C Williams Perez Tricep "?" for next start
09/13/16 P Mike Foltynewicz Calf "?" for next start
09/02/16 P Eric O'Flaherty Elbow 60-day DL (8/18)
08/31/16 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 15-day DL (8/29)
08/01/16 P Matt Marksberry Shoulder 60-day DL (7/31)
04/12/16 P Daniel Winkler Elbow 60-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Andrew McKirahan Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Paco Rodriguez Elbow out for season
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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