Saturday, September 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Rick Porcello vs. Matt Andriese
The Boston Red Sox head to Tropicana Field on Saturday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are Rick Porcello for the Red Sox and Matt Andriese for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Boston at -147 and Tampa Bay at +137. The over/under is 8. The Red Sox have a 75-71-7 over/under mark and a 80-73-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Rays are 71-81-0 against the run line and have a 75-69-8 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this game with a 89-64 record, and they are 43-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Rick Porcello has a 21-4 record with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 0.98. He has 174 strikeouts during his 210.2 innings pitched and he has given up 177 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.43. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have allowed 387 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the pen while they've been struck out 477 times and walked 174 times this year. As a unit, Boston has given up 8.4 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.42 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.02. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,270 base hits and 608 earned runs. They have allowed 168 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 453 batters and struck out 1,273. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.
As a team, Boston is hitting .286, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .267 average on the road. The Red Sox have a .468 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .351 which is good for 1st in the league. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.03 hits per contest. Mookie Betts comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 204 hits this season along with 117 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 46 times. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .295 and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 182 hits so far while scoring 111 runs and he's driven in 88. He has walked 53 times and has struck out 117 times. The Red Sox have 1,535 hits, including 332 doubles and 201 home runs. They've stolen 80 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 23 times. Boston has walked 521 times this season and they've struck out 1,101 times as a unit. They've left 1,100 men on base and have a team OPS of .819. They score 5.56 runs per contest and have scored a total of 850 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 36-42 home mark and a 65-87 overall record. With an ERA of 4.41, Matt Andriese has a 8-7 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 98 strikeouts over the 116.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 120 hits. He has allowed 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.74. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 457 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 432 times and walking 182 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,308 base knocks and 625 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 196 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 459 hitters and struck out 1,270. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Rays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .277 and he has an OBP of .346. He has 130 hits this year along with 74 runs scored and 51 RBI. He's struck out 114 times and has walked on 44 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .279 and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 166 hits so far while he's scored 80 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 136 times. The Rays as a unit have 1,254 base hits, including 260 doubles and 211 homers. They have 57 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 36 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 429 times this year and they have struck out 1,383 times. They've had 990 men left on base and have an OPS of .740. They score 4.22 runs per game and have totaled 642 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 75-71-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 80-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 75-69-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-81-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tampa Bay Rays
09/23/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 60-day DL (9/22); out for season
09/17/16 1B Logan Morrison Wrist 60-day DL (9/16)
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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