Sunday, September 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Clay Buchholz vs. Aaron Sanchez
The Boston Red Sox visit Rogers Centre on Sunday to play the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable starters are Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox and Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this matchup has Boston at +140 and Toronto at -150. The over/under was set at 9. The Red Sox have a 70-64-6 over/under record and a 71-69-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Blue Jays are 72-68-0 against the run line and have a 58-76-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Red Sox head into this matchup with a 79-61 record, including 38-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Clay Buchholz has a 6-10 record with an earned run average of 4.99 and a WHIP of 1.36. He has 78 strikeouts over his 117.1 innings pitched and he has given up 115 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.82 and they have given up 360 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 427 times and walking 158 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.52 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.41 batters per nine. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Red Sox pitchers have collectively given up 1,177 base hits and 564 earned runs. They have allowed 152 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 420 batters and struck out 1,162. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.28 and their FIP as a unit is 4.02.
As a team, Boston is batting .287, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .269 average away from home. The Red Sox hold a .468 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .352 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.11 hits per game. Xander Bogaerts comes into this game hitting .301 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 171 hits this season along with 100 runs scored and 81 runs batted in. He's struck out 105 times and has walked 49 times. Mookie Betts is hitting .316 and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 187 hits so far while scoring 107 runs and he's driven in 101. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 78 times. The Red Sox have 1,415 hits, including 311 doubles and 180 home runs. They've stolen 75 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Boston has walked 477 times this season and they've struck out 1,015 times as a unit. They've left 1,014 men on base and have a team OPS of .820. They score 5.55 runs per contest and have scored a total of 777 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this matchup with a 40-29 home record and a 77-63 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.92, Aaron Sanchez has a 13-2 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 138 strikeouts over the 169.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 145 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 391 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 406 times and walking 113 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,181 base knocks and 546 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 163 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 387 hitters and struck out 1,134. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .265 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.5 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .403. He has 147 hits this year along with 109 runs scored and 92 RBI. He's struck out 103 times and has walked on 93 occasions. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .267 and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 139 hits so far while he's scored 87 runs and drove in 112. He has earned a walk 71 times and has punched out 120 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,190 base hits, including 244 doubles and 198 homers. They have 43 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Toronto as a team has walked 526 times this year and they have struck out 1,186 times. They've had 950 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They score 4.84 runs per game and have totaled 678 runs so far this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 70-64-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 71-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 58-76-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 72-68-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Boston Red Sox
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
09/09/16 C Russell Martin Knee "?" Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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